Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $7.4K today · $40.4K traded · $3.9K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

The odds

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 1
  • Digger74%▲ 13
  • Project Hail Mary69%▲ 5
  • Dune: Part Three62%▼ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility50%▲ 21
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth36%▲ 16
  • Werwulf34%▼ 20
  • Wuthering Heights20%▲ 6
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%

How the odds have moved

The Black Ball: 57% on Oct 20, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETThe Black Ball: 74% → 83%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Black Ball 96% 94¢ 99¢ $1.01 $649
The Odyssey 86% ▲ 1 84¢ 87¢ $1.15 $3.4K
Digger 74% ▲ 13 60¢ 88¢ $1.14 $1.2K
Project Hail Mary 69% ▲ 5 67¢ 70¢ $1.43 $2.8K
Dune: Part Three 62% ▼ 2 54¢ 70¢ $1.43 $1.8K
Sense and Sensibility 50% ▲ 21 39¢ 61¢ $1.64 $3.7K
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 36% ▲ 16 34¢ 37¢ $2.70 $10.8K
Werwulf 34% ▼ 20 33¢ 34¢ $2.94 $3K
Wuthering Heights 20% ▲ 6 15¢ 24¢ $4.17 $2.7K
Backrooms 18% 17¢ 18¢ $5.56 $3K
Wildwood 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.93 $7.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Production Design Nominations

Search ›

Related markets

All awards ›

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 4
  • The Debut75%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary74%▼ 3
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial55%▼ 1
  • I Play Rocky54%▼ 4
  • All of a Sudden37%▼ 1
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore32%▲ 2
  • Wildwood27%▲ 1
  • Digger23%
  • Club Kid21%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth15%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine9%▲ 2
  • Ink8%▲ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility5%▼ 1
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 2
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Backrooms1%▼ 2
  • Tony1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

49%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey49%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything28%
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

89%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball89%▼ 1
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%▲ 1
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 569%▼ 11
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 1
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 14
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 239%▲ 16
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad35%▼ 5
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk30%▲ 4
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 18
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 5
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 3
  • Sam Rockwell77%▲ 10
23 more
  • John Leguizamo67%▲ 2
  • Guitarricadelafuente55%▼ 16
  • Edward Norton48%▼ 8
  • Robert Pattinson30%▼ 2
  • Steve Buscemi19%▼ 2
  • Colman Domingo18%▼ 8
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Guy Pearce6%▲ 1
  • Miles Teller6%
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Jeremy Strong6%▼ 8
  • Channing Tatum5%
  • Himesh Patel5%▲ 1
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 4
  • Daniel Craig3%
  • Tom Holland3%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

89%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway89%▲ 1
  • Penélope Cruz77%
  • Samantha Morton72%▼ 9
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto62%▼ 3
  • Amanda Seyfried49%▲ 7
  • Kate O'Flynn39%▲ 2
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▲ 1
  • Sandra Hüller27%▲ 2
  • Olivia Colman21%▼ 13
  • Gemma Chan18%▲ 7
  • Merritt Wever18%
  • Parker Posey17%▼ 4
  • Danielle Deadwyler13%▲ 5
  • Betty Gilpin7%▲ 1
  • Zendaya6%▼ 3
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette3%▲ 2

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich86%▼ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise60%▲ 10
  • Anthony Ippolito49%▲ 2
  • John Turturro46%▼ 2
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson35%▼ 9
  • Sebastian Stan19%
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
  • Timothée Chalamet12%▲ 1
  • Adam Driver9%▲ 4
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
  • Josh O'Connor4%▼ 2
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions