Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $2.2K today · $132K traded · $30.3K at stake · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

88%Andy Beshear
  • Andy Beshear88%▲ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg87%▲ 8
  • Ted Cruz83%
  • Gavin Newsom77%
  • J.D. Vance75%
  • Josh Shapiro69%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez66%▲ 3
  • J.B. Pritzker66%▲ 13
  • Ron DeSantis65%
  • Rahm Emanuel64%▲ 2
  • Cory Booker60%
  • Mark Kelly57%
59 more
  • Andrew Yang57%▲ 7
  • Brian Kemp56%▲ 1
  • Rand Paul54%▲ 5
  • Wes Moore54%▲ 2
  • Kamala Harris54%▲ 2
  • Jon Ossoff51%▲ 5
  • Raphael Warnock49%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio43%
  • Phil Murphy41%
  • Jared Polis37%
  • Katie Britt37%▼ 2
  • Glenn Youngkin34%
  • Gina Raimondo33%▲ 1
  • Steve Bannon32%▲ 4
  • Gretchen Whitmer32%
  • Hunter Biden31%▼ 4
  • Josh Hawley29%▼ 5
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene26%
  • Nikki Haley25%
  • Greg Abbott25%
  • Elise Stefanik25%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy24%
  • Byron Donalds24%
  • Don Lemon23%
  • Roy Cooper21%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders20%
  • Tulsi Gabbard20%▲ 1
  • Stephen A. Smith19%
  • Mark Cuban19%
  • John Fetterman18%
  • Jon Stewart17%
  • Donald Trump Jr.17%▲ 6
  • Kristi Noem17%
  • Tucker Carlson17%
  • Mike Pence16%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson16%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.16%
  • Candace Owens16%
  • Michelle Obama15%
  • Matt Gaetz15%▼ 3
  • John Thune15%
  • Liz Cheney14%
  • Oprah Winfrey13%
  • Donald Trump13%
  • Elon Musk13%
  • George Clooney12%
  • Kim Kardashian12%
  • Bernie Sanders12%
  • Beto O’Rourke12%
  • LeBron James11%
  • Chelsea Clinton11%
  • Tom Brady10%
  • Zohran Mamdani9%
  • MrBeast9%
  • Tim Walz8%
  • Ivanka Trump7%
  • Erika Kirk6%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Barack Obama2%

How the odds have moved

Andy Beshear: 88% on Oct 20, 88% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Andy Beshear 88% ▲ 1 88¢ 89¢ $1.12 $1.5K
Pete Buttigieg 87% ▲ 8 86¢ 88¢ $1.14 $3K
Ted Cruz 83% 82¢ 83¢ $1.20 $6K
Gavin Newsom 77% 76¢ 77¢ $1.30 $6.5K
J.D. Vance 75% 73¢ 77¢ $1.30 $5.1K
Josh Shapiro 69% 68¢ 69¢ $1.45 $946
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 66% ▲ 3 64¢ 68¢ $1.47 $7.2K
J.B. Pritzker 66% ▲ 13 63¢ 68¢ $1.47 $2K
Ron DeSantis 65% 64¢ 65¢ $1.54 $563
Rahm Emanuel 64% ▲ 2 62¢ 66¢ $1.52 $1.7K
Cory Booker 60% 59¢ 60¢ $1.67 $2.4K
Mark Kelly 57% 55¢ 59¢ $1.69 $547
Andrew Yang 57% ▲ 7 55¢ 59¢ $1.69 $3.9K
Brian Kemp 56% ▲ 1 44¢ 67¢ $1.49 $450
Rand Paul 54% ▲ 5 43¢ 65¢ $1.54 $462
Wes Moore 54% ▲ 2 39¢ 68¢ $1.47 $252
Kamala Harris 54% ▲ 2 46¢ 61¢ $1.64 $5.6K
Jon Ossoff 51% ▲ 5 48¢ 54¢ $1.85 $4.2K
Raphael Warnock 49% ▼ 1 47¢ 50¢ $2.00 $908
Marco Rubio 43% 41¢ 45¢ $2.22 $3.2K
Phil Murphy 41% 31¢ 51¢ $1.96 $1.6K
Jared Polis 37% 35¢ 39¢ $2.56 $80
Katie Britt 37% ▼ 2 18¢ 56¢ $1.79 $20
Glenn Youngkin 34% 33¢ 34¢ $2.94 $658
Gina Raimondo 33% ▲ 1 20¢ 45¢ $2.22 $2.1K
Steve Bannon 32% ▲ 4 30¢ 34¢ $2.94 $2.5K
Gretchen Whitmer 32% 30¢ 33¢ $3.03 $966
Hunter Biden 31% ▼ 4 29¢ 33¢ $3.03 $5.6K
Josh Hawley 29% ▼ 5 22¢ 36¢ $2.78 $5K
Marjorie Taylor Greene 26% 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 $492
Nikki Haley 25% 24¢ 25¢ $4.00 $361
Greg Abbott 25% 23¢ 26¢ $3.85
Elise Stefanik 25% 23¢ 26¢ $3.85 $80
Vivek Ramaswamy 24% 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 $252
Byron Donalds 24% 22¢ 25¢ $4.00 $94
Don Lemon 23% 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 $40
Roy Cooper 21% 19¢ 22¢ $4.55 $40
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 20% 19¢ 21¢ $4.76
Tulsi Gabbard 20% ▲ 1 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 $945
Stephen A. Smith 19% 18¢ 20¢ $5.00 $1.1K
Mark Cuban 19% 18¢ 19¢ $5.26 $328
John Fetterman 18% 16¢ 20¢ $5.00 $3.2K
Jon Stewart 17% 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 $1.9K
Donald Trump Jr. 17% ▲ 6 15¢ 19¢ $5.26 $3.5K
Kristi Noem 17% 14¢ 20¢ $5.00 $80
Tucker Carlson 17% 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 $4.2K
Mike Pence 16% 15¢ 17¢ $5.88 $670
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 16% 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 $990
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 16% 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 $1.2K
Candace Owens 16% 14¢ 17¢ $5.88 $460
Michelle Obama 15% 14¢ 16¢ $6.25 $1.4K
Matt Gaetz 15% ▼ 3 13¢ 17¢ $5.88 $378
John Thune 15% 13¢ 17¢ $5.88 $203
Liz Cheney 14% 13¢ 15¢ $6.67 $1.8K
Oprah Winfrey 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $37
Donald Trump 13% 11¢ 14¢ $7.14 $100
Elon Musk 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $2.6K
George Clooney 12% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $1.5K
Kim Kardashian 12% 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 $5.3K
Bernie Sanders 12% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $2.4K
Beto O’Rourke 12% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $20
LeBron James 11% 11¢ 11¢ $8.93 $277
Chelsea Clinton 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.01 $125
Tom Brady 10% 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 $1.2K
Zohran Mamdani 9% 8¢ 10¢ $10.00 $2.8K
MrBeast 9% 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 $1.9K
Tim Walz 8% 8¢ 8¢ $11.90 $5.3K
Ivanka Trump 7% 7¢ 7¢ $14.08 $389
Erika Kirk 6% 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 $4.5K
Hillary Clinton 4% 3¢ 4¢ $22.73 $4.6K
Barack Obama 2% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 $632

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Andy Beshear, Pete Buttigieg, Ted Cruz

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance38%▼ 2
  • Marco Rubio18%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump2%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%JD Vance
  • JD Vance19%▼ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom12%
51 more
  • Marco Rubio10%▲ 1
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom17%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▼ 1
  • Jon Ossoff15%▼ 1
50 more
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Michelle Obama1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%

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