Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Nithya Raman
54%
54¢
55¢
$1.82
$3.2M
Karen Bass
46%
45¢
46¢
$2.17
$1.7M
Rick Caruso
<1%
0¢
$495K
Asaad Alnajjar
<1%
0¢
$14K
Gina Viola
<1%
0¢
$166K
Spencer Pratt
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$7.9M
Austin Beutner
<1%
0¢
$44.9K
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
0¢
$1.7M
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
0¢
$33.9K
Rae Huang
<1%
0¢
$523K
Adam Miller
<1%
0¢
$199K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Los Angeles Mayoral, Nithya Raman, Karen Bass
Inside the ‘bad will’ for Nithya Raman at LA City HallPOLITICO · 3 days agoNithya Raman is facing “a full-on, multiple-person verbal assault” from her City Council colleagues, not one of whom has endorsed her. If Raman wins, her ambitious agenda may depend on her ability to persuade a council majority to go…
Did Karen Bass Expand Film Incentives? Nithya Raman Campaign Flags ‘Whopper’ ClaimVariety · 4 days agoNithya Raman‘s campaign is calling out L.A. Mayor Karen Bass for taking credit for expanding the state film and TV incentive in a recent TV ad. In the ad, Bass looks to the camera and says: “With the film industry struggling, I cut fees…
Mayor Karen Bass outraises Councilmember Nithya Raman in Nov. 3 runoffLos Angeles Times · 4 days agoLos Angeles Mayor Karen Bass has outraised challenger Nithya Raman in fundraising for the Nov. 3 runoff election, the latest campaign finance reports show, pulling in about $3.4 million to Raman’s $3 million. Bass collected $827,000 in…
L.A. Has a 911 Problem. Can Karen Bass or Nithya Raman Fix It?LAmag · 4 days agoAt a Friday press conference, Mayor Karen Bass addressed L.A.’s troubled 911 system, but questions persist about how quickly City Hall can deliver meaningful change • 21 hours ago Los Angeles has no shortage of political promises about…
Karen Bass is not who you think she isPOLITICO · 4 days agoBy David Siders and Christopher Cadelago 08/06/2020 11:47 AM EDT Karen Bass was speaker of the California Assembly when a Republican lawmaker in 2009 was caught on a hot mic boasting in lurid detail about an affair he said he had with a…
Cash pours in for LA mayoral candidate as heated race enters final stretchCalifornia Post · 3 days agoLos Angeles’ mayoral race has turned into a multimillion-dollar mudslinging match, with deep-pocketed unions, wealthy donors and police groups flooding the airwaves with ads ahead of Election Day. Outside groups are spending big to boost…
2026 Election: What to know about the 2026 LA mayoral electionDaily News · 47 h agoFour years after taking office with a promise to confront the city’s homelessness crisis, Mayor Karen Bass is fighting to keep her job against a former political ally who says Los Angeles cannot afford another four years of the same…
Nithya Raman Apologizes Over Daryl Gates Comment in LA Mayor RaceHoodline · 3 days agoAs first reported by the New York Post, the controversy has kept Raman on the defensive in the closing weeks of the campaign. Whether the repeated apologies quiet the criticism before November remains to be seen. Raman Apologizes Again…
Karoline Leavitt Offers Blunt Advice to Newsom, Calif. Dems: Work With TrumpConservative Brief · 46 h agoThese content recommendations are provided by AdStyle and may be paid by the advertiser whose ad you clicked on. Ad.Style recognizes interest based on how you and other visitors interact with content suggestions. You can advertise your…
2026 General Election: Meet the Gubernatorial and Mayoral candidatesDaily Sundial · 2 days agoXavier Becerra, former U.S. Health Secretary and former State Attorney General, is the Democratic candidate. Becerra wants to build more affordable homes and reduce construction costs. He wants to: Becerra aims to build toward a universal…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions