Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Kamala Harris
27%
27¢
28¢
$3.57
$8.7K
Raphael Warnock
19%
▲ 7
19¢
20¢
$5.00
$1.7K
Jon Ossoff
17%
17¢
18¢
$5.56
$1.6K
Gavin Newsom
16%
16¢
17¢
$5.81
$5.1K
Cory Booker
7%
▼ 2
0¢
17¢
$5.81
$976
J.B. Pritzker
7%
▲ 2
1¢
15¢
$6.54
$476
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
1¢
10¢
$10.20
$414
Mark Kelly
3%
▼ 1
1¢
7¢
$14.08
$773
Rahm Emanuel
2%
1¢
5¢
$21.74
$301
Bernie Sanders
2%
▲ 1
0¢
5¢
$20.41
$383
Wes Moore
2%
▼ 1
1¢
3¢
$32.26
$375
James Talarico
1%
0¢
3¢
$35.71
$326
Michelle Obama
1%
0¢
3¢
$35.71
$286
Josh Shapiro
1%
0¢
2¢
$55.56
$331
Jon Stewart
<1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$447
Pete Buttigieg
<1%
0¢
1¢
$298
Roy Cooper
<1%
0¢
1¢
$256
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
0¢
1¢
$266
Andy Beshear
<1%
0¢
1¢
$276
Ro Khanna
<1%
0¢
0¢
$276
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary, Kamala Harris, Raphael Warnock
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.