How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $305K traded · $9.9K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

79.0median
11,000
Median 79.0Middle half 40.0 – 2,198

How the odds have moved

Median: 76.5 on Oct 20, 79.0 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
0 <1% ▼ 19 0¢ $44.4K
1-100 63% 53¢ 75¢ $1.33 $19.5K
1k-2.5k 14% ▼ 6 2¢ 28¢ $3.64 $11.6K
2.5k-5k 3% ▼ 4 1¢ 6¢ $17.86 $12.1K
5k-10k 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 $15.3K
10k-25k 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 $119K
25k-100k 1% 0¢ 1¢ $13.8K
>100k 12% 5¢ 19¢ $5.26 $26.8K
101-1k 4% 4¢ 5¢ $19.23 $42K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: gold prices, gold, Gold Cards

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Who will be arrested before 2027?

23%Lee Jun-seok
  • Lee Jun-seok23%▲ 13
  • John Brennan21%▼ 1
  • Mahmoud Khalil20%▼ 1
21 more
  • James Comey19%▲ 13
  • Tom Homan8%
  • Anthony Fauci8%▲ 1
  • Susan Rice8%▲ 2
  • Lisa Cook5%
  • Letitia James5%▲ 1
  • James Clapper5%
  • Candace Owens4%▼ 2
  • Benjamin Netanyahu4%
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Hillary Clinton4%▲ 2
  • Adam Schiff4%▼ 4
  • Brandon Johnson4%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom3%
  • Pam Bondi3%▼ 2
  • Kash Patel3%
  • Loretta Lynch2%
  • Bill Clinton2%
  • John Kerry2%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions