María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
The odds
16%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 13% on Oct 20, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | 14¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $285K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Cuba
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Cuba spent decades recruiting American spies. Now Washington is turning the tables on HavanaPresident Donald Trump speaks in Fort Myers, Florida, about taking care of Cuba as Secretary of State Marco Rubio urges Cuban dissidents to partner with the CIA. Cuba’s government has spent decades recruiting Americans to betray their… -
Rubio urges Cuban dissidents to partner with CIAPresident Donald Trump speaks in Fort Myers, Florida, about taking care of Cuba as Secretary of State Marco Rubio urges Cuban dissidents to partner with the CIA. Rubio urges Cuban dissidents to partner with CIA President Donald Trump… -
Rubio calls on Cubans seeking "positive change" to work with CIA: "Now is the time"October 24, 2026 / 11:49 AM EDT / CBS News U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called on Cubans seeking "positive change" to work with the CIA, the latest ploy in the growing efforts from the Trump administration to remove Cuba's communist… -
AP says U.S. secretly built "Cuban Twitter" called ZunZuneo to thwart Cuba censorship, but was it legal?Updated on: April 3, 2014 / 10:58 AM EDT / CBS/AP WASHINGTON -- In July 2010, Joe McSpedon, a U.S. government official, flew to Barcelona to put the final touches on a secret plan to build a social media project aimed at undermining Cuba's… -
Rubio tells Cubans ‘now is the time’ to act to see political changeUS secretary of state makes comments after Trump tells US rally warships could intervene on return from Iran Marco Rubio urged Cubans seeking political change in their country to act, saying “now is the time” moments after Donald Trump… -
How Castro’s Cuba EndsThe Atlantic: “The government still purports—on faded billboards, in party speeches—to meet all of the material and spiritual needs of its citizens, but it is now bankrupt in every sense. Almost no one believes in the system anymore, and… -
Trump riffs on US warships, Cuba and Rubio after question from crowdPresident Donald Trump teases U.S. warships could stop near Cuba after Iran, and send Secretary of State Marco Rubio in to "finish the job," during a midterm rally speech Friday in Fort Myers, Florida ... Trump riffs on US warships, Cuba… - Rubio urges Cubans to work with CIA to bring political change to communist-run islandPresident Donald Trump teases that U.S. warships could stop near Cuba after Iran and send Secretary of State Marco Rubio in to "finish the job," during a midterm rally speech Friday, Oct. 23, 2026, in Fort Myers, Florida. Secretary of…
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Lung Cancer Vaccine Discovered In CubaFor half a century, Cuban products have been rare in the US due to an economic embargo established by President John F. Kennedy at the height of the Cold War. The embargo hasn’t been lifted completely, but the president’s decision to… -
Jamaica Ex-PMs Urge 28 Oct UN Cuba VoteJAMAICA · CUBA · UN VOTE Two former Jamaican prime ministers signed a letter urging every country to vote against the US embargo on Cuba. The UN vote is due on Wednesday, 28 October. Ten former Caribbean leaders have asked every country to… -
Atlantic Writer Goes Absurdly TDS on Cubans for NOT Slamming TrumpAtlantic magazine staff writer Robert F. Worth should be given credit for his in-depth reporting on the scene from the island of the economic devastation in Cuba as the result of decades of Communist oppression and mismanagement as you can… -
Cuba’s Airports Run Out of Jet FuelUpdated Monday, 26 October, 4:22 p.m. ET · Source: Cuban aviation authorities, airport and airline notices Cuba's state-run Empresa Cubana de Navegación Aérea (ECNA), the country's air navigation authority, issued ten aviation notices…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions