What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closed, awaiting its result Closed Wed 6:22 PM ET · $43K today · $54K traded · $19.9K at stake

The last odds before it closed

>99%Transgender 5+ times
  • Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
  • SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
  • Star>99%▲ 59
  • Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
  • Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
  • Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
  • Ass1%▼ 64
  • Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
  • Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
  • Animal1%▼ 62
  • Drag Show1%▼ 64
  • Maduro1%▼ 26
10 more
  • Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
  • Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
  • Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
  • Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
  • America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
  • Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
  • Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
  • Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
  • -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Transgender 5+ times: >99% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Transgender 5+ times >99% ▲ 22 100¢ 100¢ $2.9K
SI / Super Intelligence >99% ▲ 33 100¢ 100¢ $3.1K
Star >99% ▲ 59 100¢ 100¢ $289
Gay / Palestine >99% ▲ 79 100¢ 100¢ $3K
Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times >99% ▲ 13 99¢ 100¢ $3.9K
Regulation / Regulatory 100% ▲ 72 99¢ 100¢ $1.8K
Ass 1% ▼ 64 1¢ $100.00 $3.3K
Bull / Bullshit 1% ▼ 40 1¢ $100.00 $1.4K
Fertilizer / Rural 1% ▼ 47 1¢ $100.00 $1K
Animal 1% ▼ 62 1¢ $100.00 $1.5K
Drag Show 1% ▼ 64 1¢ $100.00 $4.7K
Maduro 1% ▼ 26 1¢ $100.00 $1.2K
Data Center / Electric / Electricity 1% ▼ 38 1¢ $100.00 $1.9K
Russia / Ukraine 1% ▼ 72 1¢ $100.00 $2K
Hormuz / Blockade 1% ▼ 58 1¢ $100.00 $1K
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported 1% ▼ 32 1¢ $100.00 $1.7K
America First / Gulf of America 1% ▼ 62 1¢ $100.00 $642
Hell 15+ times <1% ▼ 54 1¢ $3.9K
Tax 33+ times <1% ▼ 45 0¢ $9.5K
AI / Artificial Intelligence <1% ▼ 45 0¢ $2.1K
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $2.7K
-No Qualifying Event- <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $523

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Midterm Rally, Kansas

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Who will be arrested before 2027?

22%James Comey
  • James Comey22%▲ 16
  • Mahmoud Khalil22%▲ 1
  • John Brennan21%▼ 1
21 more
  • Lee Jun-seok13%▲ 3
  • Anthony Fauci8%▲ 1
  • Tom Homan8%▲ 1
  • James Clapper6%▲ 1
  • Candace Owens6%
  • Lisa Cook6%▲ 1
  • Letitia James6%▲ 1
  • Susan Rice6%
  • Hillary Clinton5%▲ 4
  • Pam Bondi5%
  • Adam Schiff5%▲ 1
  • Benjamin Netanyahu5%
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Brandon Johnson4%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom3%▲ 1
  • Kash Patel2%
  • Loretta Lynch2%
  • Bill Clinton2%
  • John Kerry2%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions