Oscars: Best Picture Winner 2027
44%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey44%
- The Black Ball22%
- Dune: Part Three15%
- Wild Horse Nine10%
2 more
- Project Hail Mary8%
- Digger1%
Install
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
The odds
48%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey48%▲ 2
- La Bola Negra18%▼ 1
- You Can See Everything13%▼ 4
- Dune: Part Three10%▲ 1
- Digger4%▲ 1
- Wild Horse Nine2%
- The Social Reckoning1%▲ 1
- Fjord1%
- Project Hail Mary1%
- The Invite1%
- The Debut<1%
- Artificial<1%
15 more
- Josephine<1%
- I Play Rocky<1%
- Behemoth!<1%
- The Drama<1%
- Obsession<1%
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
- Tony<1%
- All of a Sudden<1%
- Clarissa<1%
- Saturn Return<1%
- Disclosure Day<1%
- Fatherland<1%
- Michael<1%
- Avengers: Doomsday<1%
- Elsinore<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 48% | ▲ 2 | 48¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | $166K |
| La Bola Negra | 18% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $24.1K |
| You Can See Everything | 13% | ▼ 4 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.71 | $21.2K |
| Dune: Part Three | 10% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $30.9K |
| Digger | 4% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $25.9K |
| Wild Horse Nine | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $19.8K | |
| The Social Reckoning | 1% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $9K |
| Fjord | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $90.91 | $11.1K | |
| Project Hail Mary | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $83.33 | $10K | |
| The Invite | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $9.5K | ||
| The Debut | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $10.6K | ||
| Artificial | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $3.9K | ||
| Josephine | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $9.6K | ||
| I Play Rocky | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $3.8K | ||
| Behemoth! | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10.1K | ||
| The Drama | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $6.7K | ||
| Obsession | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4K | ||
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9K | ||
| Tony | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $8.2K | ||
| All of a Sudden | <1% | 0¢ | $7.9K | |||
| Clarissa | <1% | 0¢ | $1.4K | |||
| Saturn Return | <1% | 0¢ | $6.8K | |||
| Disclosure Day | <1% | 0¢ | $3K | |||
| Fatherland | <1% | 0¢ | $1.4K | |||
| Michael | <1% | 0¢ | $4.3K | |||
| Avengers: Doomsday | <1% | 0¢ | $1.6K | |||
| Elsinore | <1% | 0¢ | $167 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Crypto.com
- Oscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerWild Horse NinePolymarket 2%Crypto.com 10%8 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Kalshi
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)You Can See EverythingKalshi 16%Polymarket 13%3 pts apart
Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)
46%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey46%▲ 1
- The Black Ball18%
- You Can See Everything16%▼ 7
- Dune: Part Three9%
37 more
- Wild Horse Nine2%
- Digger1%
- Artificial1%
- Project Hail Mary<1%
- Disclosure Day<1%
- Fjord<1%
- The Social Reckoning<1%
- Michael<1%
- The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
- Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
- Werwulf<1%
- Behemoth<1%
- Josephine<1%
- Sense and Sensibility<1%
- I Love Boosters<1%
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
- Avengers: Doomsday<1%
- The Death of Robin Hood<1%
- The Drama<1%
- Ink<1%
- All of a Sudden<1%
- Cry to Heaven<1%
- Tie<1%
- 1949 / Fatherland<1%
- Paper Tiger<1%
- Hope<1%
- Minotaur<1%
- Parallel Tales<1%
- Jack of Spades<1%
- Obsession<1%
- The Debut<1%
- Elsinore<1%
- The Invite<1%
- Club Kid<1%
- Being Heumann<1%
- Primetime<1%
- Tender Loving Care<1%
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Picture
Search ›-
‘You Can See Everything’ Sets Oscar Campaigns for Best Picture, Supporting Actress and More CategoriesSPOILER ALERT: This article contains major spoilers for “You Can See Everything,” now playing in theaters. “You Can See Everything” may rewrite the rules of the Oscar season. Christopher Abbott, who also appears in the film as Holmes’… -
2027 Oscars Best Picture Predictions: Winner, Runner-Up And Other ContendersChristopher Nolan's The Odyssey will undoubtedly be a 2027 Best Picture Oscar contender, but what other films could be up for the prize? Let's discuss. 2027 Oscars Best Picture Predictions: Winner, Runner-Up And Other Contenders Every… -
5 Worst Sequels To Best Picture Oscar-Winning MoviesEven without glorious predecessors to compare them to, these sequels would still struggle immensely. They're deeply flawed productions whose problems go way deeper than not matching up to the legacy of best picture winners. These award… -
Steven Spielberg Says This Superhero Movie Deserved A Best Picture Oscar NominationBGR Steven Spielberg Says This Superhero Movie Deserved A Best Picture Oscar Nomination It's difficult to come up with new superlatives when talking about Christopher Nolan's Batman trilogy, specifically "The Dark Knight." It's probably… -
Every Best Picture Nominee Directed by a Woman in Oscars HistoryAcross the history of the Academy Awards, hundreds of films have been nominated for the top prize, best picture. Only a small fraction of them were helmed by a woman director. The disparity is startling, even as female-led stories continue… -
‘Michael’ Gets Standing Ovation at DGA Oscar Screening — Best Picture Nomination a Possibility?Back in May, a Warner Bros. source told me ‘Chapter 2’ wasn't coming out in 2026. It was “not in the plans.” The film has been finished for two years. Duffield's "Whalefall," the survival thriller about a diver swallowed by a sperm whale… -
'You Can 'You Can See Everything' Oscar Chances Are Real Everything' Oscar Chances On The RiseSPOILER ALERT: The following article contains details about storylines and characters/actors in A24‘s documentary You Can See Everything. Ever since its super-secret onetime screening at the Telluride Film Festival over Labor Day weekend… -
‘You Can See Everything’ rides buzz, box office into Top 10 of Best Picture raceNathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim have also leapt into contention for Best Director, sitting at No. 9 on the Gold Derby experts leaderboard. âYou Can See Everythingâ rides buzz, box office into Top 10 of Best Picture race You Can See… -
Is ‘Redacted’ Eligible For An Academy Award For Their Surprise Role In ‘You Can See Everything’?Taylor Hill/FilmMagic | A24 A surprise performance in 'You Can See Everything' is earning Oscar shouts A surprise performance in the back half of Nathan Fielder’s splashy Elizabeth Holmes documentary You Can See Everything is being hailed… - 2027 Oscar Predictions: Is You Can See Everything Really a Major Best Picture Contender?What you want to secure a nomination is that you either come in with around 900 number-one votes or you come in with around 300-500 number-one votes, then pick up the top #2 and #3 spots. That means you need passion and popularity to get…
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Oscars 2026: Everything to know about the 98th Academy AwardsOn Sunday, March 15, the 98th Academy Awards will celebrate everything from the year's best acting and best directing to the top films from the past year, including "Hamnet," "Marty Supreme," "Sinners" and more. Just days before the show… - 2027 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE and BEST DIRECTOR (October)With only the dunes of Arrakis on our horizon, the invites have been sent, the hail marys have been thrown, the horses are on the run and the Hamlet soliloquies have taken their final bow. It’s only October but maybe we can see everything…
Related markets
All awards ›Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
97%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey97%
- La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
- Wild Horse Nine92%▲ 1
19 more
- Dune: Part Three87%▲ 1
- The Debut80%▼ 3
- Project Hail Mary78%▼ 3
- You Can See Everything71%▲ 3
- The Invite58%▼ 1
- Fjord39%
- All of a Sudden36%
- Obsession34%
- I Play Rocky28%▼ 10
- Elsinore25%▼ 6
- Digger20%▼ 1
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▲ 2
- Behemoth!19%▼ 12
- Michael13%▼ 1
- Disclosure Day8%▼ 1
- Avengers: Doomsday8%▼ 2
- Fatherland5%▲ 1
- The Social Reckoning4%
- The Drama3%
Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)
83%You Can See Everything
- You Can See Everything83%▲ 6
- NAZA69%▼ 16
- Once Upon a Time in Harlem68%▼ 8
7 more
- American Doctor53%▲ 1
- 14th38%▲ 1
- One in a Million28%▲ 1
- Nuisance Bear23%▼ 5
- Tutu21%▲ 1
- Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party18%▲ 1
- Musk18%▲ 1
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations
85%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey85%
- The Black Ball77%
- Wild Horse Nine62%▲ 2
10 more
- You Can See Everything55%▲ 14
- Dune: Part Three47%▼ 1
- Project Hail Mary39%▼ 2
- Fjord31%▼ 3
- Club Kid28%▲ 7
- The Debut27%▼ 1
- Elsinore27%▲ 9
- The Invite26%▲ 5
- Ink21%
- Digger13%▼ 3
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
94%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey94%▲ 1
- The Black Ball71%
- Dune: Part Three65%▼ 4
10 more
- Disclosure Day65%▼ 4
- Project Hail Mary59%▼ 1
- Behemoth!33%▼ 14
- You Can See Everything28%
- Wild Horse Nine26%
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth11%▲ 1
- Whalefall7%▲ 3
- The Social Reckoning6%
- The Drama5%
- The Mandalorian and Grogu3%
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
93%Matt Damon
- Matt Damon93%
- John Malkovich88%
- Andrew Scott86%▼ 1
16 more
- Tom Cruise56%▼ 1
- Ryan Gosling45%▲ 2
- John Turturro44%▲ 2
- Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
- Anthony Ippolito36%▼ 1
- Pedro Pascal19%▲ 1
- Sebastian Stan17%
- Jaafar Jackson17%
- Timothée Chalamet10%▼ 13
- Josh O'Connor6%▲ 1
- Adam Driver5%▲ 1
- Sam Rockwell5%
- Brad Pitt5%
- Javier Bardem4%
- Robert Aramayo4%
- Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1
Golden Joystick Awards: Ultimate Game of the Year Winner
52%Resident Evil Requiem
- Resident Evil Requiem52%▼ 4
- Big Walk30%▲ 16
- 007: First Light10%▼ 3
15 more
- Star Wars Zero Company9%▲ 5
- Escape from Tarkov8%▲ 5
- Forza Horizon 67%▼ 2
- Saros6%▲ 2
- Mewgenics5%▲ 1
- Gears of War: E-Day4%
- Crimson Desert4%▼ 5
- Pragmata4%
- Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave2%▼ 2
- Pokémon Pokopia2%▼ 1
- LEGO Batman: Legacy of the Dark Knight2%▼ 2
- Valheim1%▼ 2
- The Blood of Dawnwalker1%▼ 3
- Onimusha: Way of the Sword1%
- Nioh 31%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.