Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $10 today · $14.3K traded · $1.1K at stake · prices read 55 min ago

The odds

22%With Tapes and Toasts in the Car
  • With Tapes and Toasts in the Car22%▼ 2
  • God is Shy13%▲ 1
  • What We Leave Behind13%▲ 6
  • Paper Trail9%▼ 1
  • Dog Alone6%
  • Because Today is Saturday5%
  • El Cuerpo de Cristo4%
  • Water Girl3%
  • Dollhouse Elephant3%
  • Saba1%
  • Please<1%

How the odds have moved

With Tapes and Toasts in the Car: 14% on Oct 20, 22% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETWith Tapes and Toasts in the…: 6% → 11%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
With Tapes and Toasts in the Car 22% ▼ 2 21¢ 24¢ $4.26 $5.1K
God is Shy 13% ▲ 1 11¢ 15¢ $6.58 $160
What We Leave Behind 13% ▲ 6 0¢ 25¢ $4.05 $145
Paper Trail 9% ▼ 1 1¢ 18¢ $5.62 $2.6K
Dog Alone 6% 0¢ 12¢ $8.33 $469
Because Today is Saturday 5% 0¢ 9¢ $11.24 $95
El Cuerpo de Cristo 4% 0¢ 8¢ $12.82 $100
Water Girl 3% 0¢ 6¢ $15.87 $134
Dollhouse Elephant 3% 0¢ 6¢ $16.67 $820
Saba 1% 0¢ 1¢ $2.1K
Please <1% 0¢ 1¢ $2.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Animated Short Film

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

51%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey51%▲ 3
  • You Can See Everything23%▼ 5
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three7%▲ 2
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich87%▲ 2
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise53%▲ 3
  • John Turturro49%▲ 8
  • Anthony Ippolito49%▲ 2
  • Ryan Gosling45%▲ 1
  • Robert Pattinson30%▼ 5
  • Sebastian Stan18%▲ 3
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal16%▼ 1
  • Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Adam Driver5%▲ 1
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Javier Bardem5%
  • Brad Pitt4%▲ 1
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▲ 1
  • Sam Rockwell76%▲ 5
23 more
  • Guitarricadelafuente67%▼ 6
  • John Leguizamo64%▼ 3
  • Edward Norton51%▼ 6
  • Robert Pattinson29%▼ 2
  • Steve Buscemi20%▼ 2
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • Colman Domingo17%▼ 7
  • John Goodman13%▲ 1
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Antonio Banderas6%▲ 1
  • Channing Tatum5%▲ 1
  • Guy Pearce5%▼ 4
  • Jeremy Strong5%▼ 11
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Miles Teller4%▼ 2
  • Himesh Patel4%▼ 2
  • Michael Fassbender4%▲ 1
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

96%Project Hail Mary
  • Project Hail Mary96%▼ 2
  • The Odyssey84%▲ 6
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 14
11 more
  • Werwulf52%▲ 10
  • The Black Ball44%▼ 11
  • Whalefall34%
  • The Mosquito Bowl33%▲ 2
  • Behemoth!30%▼ 1
  • Godzilla Minus Zero25%
  • Michael23%▼ 2
  • The End of Oak Street23%▲ 13
  • Disclosure Day17%▼ 5
  • Digger11%▼ 1
  • The Debut8%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine88%▼ 3
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything79%▲ 2
  • The Debut76%▼ 1
  • Project Hail Mary73%▼ 1
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky58%▲ 2
  • All of a Sudden37%
  • Fjord35%▼ 2
  • Elsinore33%▲ 7
  • Obsession31%▲ 1
  • Digger21%▲ 2
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▼ 2
  • Behemoth!13%
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday5%
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • Fatherland4%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 2
  • Digger72%▼ 1
8 more
  • Project Hail Mary68%▲ 2
  • Dune: Part Three62%▼ 3
  • Sense and Sensibility52%▲ 32
  • Werwulf46%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth34%▲ 14
  • Wuthering Heights20%
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions