Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $2.5K today · $23.3K traded · $3.8K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

82%The Odyssey

The Odyssey82%
The Black Ball82%
Wild Horse Nine78%▼ 7
The Debut56%▼ 2
Being Heumann54%▲ 10
Obsession38%▼ 2
The Invite30%▲ 1
Dune: Part Three27%▲ 1
Fjord26%
All of a Sudden25%▲ 8
Project Hail Mary19%▲ 5
Michael17%▲ 3

5 more

Digger9%▼ 1
Cry to Heaven7%
Saturn Return7%▲ 1
UNABOMBER3%
Clarissa2%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 82% on Oct 20, 82% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
The Odyssey	82%		79¢	85¢	$1.18	$3.7K
The Black Ball	82%		81¢	83¢	$1.20	$2.7K
Wild Horse Nine	78%	▼ 7	77¢	78¢	$1.28	$586
The Debut	56%	▼ 2	55¢	57¢	$1.75	$2.4K
Being Heumann	54%	▲ 10	53¢	55¢	$1.82	$452
Obsession	38%	▼ 2	29¢	46¢	$2.17	$310
The Invite	30%	▲ 1	29¢	30¢	$3.33	$2.7K
Dune: Part Three	27%	▲ 1	18¢	36¢	$2.78	$2K
Fjord	26%		25¢	27¢	$3.70	$580
All of a Sudden	25%	▲ 8	24¢	26¢	$3.85	$2.6K
Project Hail Mary	19%	▲ 5	17¢	20¢	$5.00	$1.1K
Michael	17%	▲ 3	16¢	17¢	$5.88	$624
Digger	9%	▼ 1	7¢	10¢	$10.00	$972
Cry to Heaven	7%		6¢	8¢	$12.82	$1.4K
Saturn Return	7%	▲ 1	6¢	7¢	$14.29	$476
UNABOMBER	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.41	$394
Clarissa	2%		1¢	3¢	$29.41	$388

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Casting Nominations

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Neon joins the Guardian, MK2 on Academy Award-winning directors Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor’s NAZAthe Guardian · 3 days agoDocumentary, produced by James Wilson and executive-produced by Jonathan Glazer, premiered in Venice and won the special jury prize The Guardian’s head of investigations, Paul Lewis, and global head of multimedia, Nicole Jackson, said…
Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the WarStanford University · 27 h agoStanford University Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the War Join us for a film screening of Lithuania's submission for the Academy Awards with commentary from Maarja…
Comcast Q3: Record-Breaking ‘The Odyssey’, Profitable Peacock Fuel NBCU Spinoff MomentumDeadline · 4 days agoOdysseus and his intrepid crew sailed through Comcast’s latest quarter as Universal surpassed $5 billion at the global box office, led by the The Odyssey, now Universal’s highest-grossing film of all time. The Christopher Nolan smash based…
Clayface Just Broke a Comic Book Movie Record & Beat An Academy Award WinnerComicBook.com · 3 days ago(Sr. Writer/Editor) Kofi Outlaw has a B.A. in writing and film studies. He then earned a Master’s Degree in creative writing from The New School in NYC, where he became editor of Screenrant.com when it was just a hobby blog. Kofi…
‘You Can See Everything’ Is Closing In on ‘The Odyssey’ in the Best Picture Race, and It Could Make Oscar HistoryComic Basics · 3 days agoAwards season usually builds slowly, with a frontrunner emerging in the summer and rivals chipping away through the fall. This year the Best Picture odds have taken a wild turn. A race that looked like a coronation for one of the year’s…
‘The Odyssey’ Artisans Talk Bringing Christopher Nolan’s Epic to Life With Practical Sets and Thousands of Costumes at Middleburg Film FestVariety · 4 days agoWhen Christopher Nolan gathered his team of artisans for his adaptation of Homer’s epic poem “The Odyssey” he first told production designer Ruth De Jong of his plans. But the process was shrouded in secrecy because working with Nolan is…
Dune 3 Pre-sales Outpace The Odyssey, Signaling Potential Record-Breaking North American DebutZoom TV · 39 h agoZoom TV | Entertainment Dune 3 is scheduled for theatrical release on December 18. While the current pre-sales data provides a strong foundation for a record-breaking performance, the industry will continue to monitor ticket velocity to…
An ‘odyssey’ in the making: The grand opening of College Square at SquareFestThe Red & Black · 31 h agoMayor of Athens-Clarke County Kelly Girtz opened the ribbon cutting ceremony by addressing attendees on stage. “This has taken an odyssey to get here, but for every odyssey, you find success at the end of the journey, and this moment is no…
Elon Musk actually follows through on Grok AI adaptation of 'The Odyssey'Mashable · 33 h agoElon Musk doesn’t have a great track record of following through on his promises. According to MuskOmeter, a site that tracks the pledges Musk has made and whether he’s kept them, he’s at about a 24 percent hit rate. So it’s almost…
Inflation at the movies: Runtimes are longer, from 'The Odyssey' to 'You Can See Everything'WXII · 2 days agoUnfortunately for your bladder, movies are getting longer Your bladder isn't lying. Movies are getting longer. All kinds of films, from big-budget spectacles to art house dramas, are stretching their runtimes. It's an old saying that a…
Medical Academy Awards N10m Gold Medal to Cardiologist Ogah, inducts 13 fellowsChampion of the Truth. · 3 days agoThe Academy of Medical Sciences of Nigeria has announced a N10 million Gold Medal Award for Professor Okechukwu Samuel Ogah, a cardiologist recognised for his contributions to cardiovascular research, medical education and healthcare in…
Dune Part Three Breaks The Odyssey IMAX Advance Booking Recordcinejosh.com · 3 days ago: Dune Part Three Breaks The Odyssey IMAX Advance Booking Record Dune: Part Three has reportedly set a new advance booking record at London’s BFI IMAX. Directed by Denis Villeneuve, the sci-fi film sold around 33,000 tickets in its first…

Related markets

All awards ›

Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey

The Odyssey48%▲ 4
You Can See Everything27%▼ 3
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

85%NAZA

NAZA85%
You Can See Everything80%▼ 7
Once Upon a Time in Harlem67%▲ 5

7 more

American Doctor63%
14th39%▲ 1
Nuisance Bear37%▲ 6
One in a Million33%▲ 6
Musk26%▲ 1
Tutu23%▼ 1
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

99%The Odyssey

The Odyssey99%▲ 1
The Black Ball95%
Wild Horse Nine91%

50 more

Dune: Part Three83%
You Can See Everything80%
Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
The Debut74%
The Invite62%▲ 2
I Play Rocky57%▼ 1
Artificial55%▲ 1
All of a Sudden37%
Fjord35%
Obsession33%
Elsinore30%▲ 2
Wildwood26%▼ 5
Digger23%
Club Kid22%▼ 2
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▼ 1
Being Heumann18%▲ 1
Possible Love17%▲ 1
Behemoth16%
Michael12%
Primetime10%
Ink8%▲ 2
Josephine7%▲ 1
Sense and Sensibility6%
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 1
Saturn Return5%
Minotaur4%
Misty Green4%▲ 1
The Drama4%
Paper Tiger4%
The Whisper Man4%
Clarissa4%▲ 1
Disclosure Day3%
Werwulf3%▼ 3
Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
Cry to Heaven3%▼ 1
Parallel Tales3%
1949 / Fatherland3%▼ 1
Rose3%
The Uprising3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
The Death of Robin Hood3%
Backrooms3%▲ 1
The Entertainment System Is Down2%
Hope2%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%▲ 1
I Love Boosters2%
Jack of Spades2%
Tony2%
Bucking Fastard2%
The Social Reckoning1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

94%The Odyssey

The Odyssey94%
Dune: Part Three78%▼ 5
Project Hail Mary64%▲ 1

6 more

Fatherland45%
Digger37%▲ 4
Werwulf35%▼ 9
Obsession16%▼ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth15%
Josephine10%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan

Christopher Nolan97%
Javier Calvo89%
Martin McDonagh71%▲ 1

24 more

Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
Denis Villeneuve58%▲ 1
Olivia Wilde51%▲ 2
Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%▲ 1
Cristian Mungiu28%▲ 1
Jesse Eisenberg24%
Phil Lord12%
Alejandro González Iñárritu12%▲ 2
Curry Barker10%
Christopher Miller10%▲ 1
David Fincher9%▲ 2
Paweł Pawlikowski8%▲ 1
Tony Gilroy8%▲ 1
Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
Mike Leigh5%▼ 6
Andrew Haigh5%
Joel Coen5%
Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
Na Hong-jin4%
Greta Gerwig4%
Beth de Araujo4%
Danny Boyle3%
Janus Metz Pedersen3%
James Ashcroft2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey

The Odyssey90%▲ 13
The Black Ball79%▲ 9
Dune: Part Three74%▲ 2

9 more

Sense and Sensibility66%▲ 4
I Love Boosters50%▼ 1
Werwulf49%▲ 2
Wuthering Heights44%▲ 11
The Devil Wears Prada 244%▲ 2
Michael39%▲ 3
Wild Horse Nine28%▼ 10
Digger27%▲ 3
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMar 14, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$23.3K

Today$2.5K

This week$8.9K

At stake$3.8K

In the news13 headlines today, 316 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions