Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Oct 31 · $683 today · $50K traded · $1.9K at stake · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

52%October 2
  • October 252%▼ 1
  • October 452%▼ 6
  • October 552%▼ 5
  • October 1152%
  • October 1552%▲ 23
  • October 1752%▲ 1
  • October 1852%▼ 29
  • October 1952%▼ 33
  • October 2052%▲ 37
  • October 2152%▼ 6
  • October 2252%▲ 1
  • October 2352%▲ 1
8 more
  • October 2452%▲ 1
  • October 2552%▼ 2
  • October 2652%
  • October 2752%▲ 1
  • October 2852%▼ 1
  • October 2952%▲ 1
  • October 3052%
  • October 3152%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
✓ October 1 >99% ▲ 7 99¢ 100¢ $2K
October 2 52% ▼ 1 46¢ 100¢ $1.3K
✓ October 3 >99% ▲ 5 100¢ 100¢ $1.6K
October 4 52% ▼ 6 5¢ 96¢ $1.04 $1.3K
October 5 52% ▼ 5 6¢ 99¢ $1.01 $999
✓ October 6 >99% ▲ 7 100¢ 100¢ $4.2K
✓ October 7 >99% ▲ 2 100¢ 100¢ $2.2K
October 8 <1% ▼ 13 0¢ 10¢ $10.31 $934
✓ October 9 >99% ▲ 36 100¢ 100¢ $674
✓ October 10 >99% ▲ 40 99¢ 100¢ $353
October 11 52% 90¢ 98¢ $1.02 $910
✓ October 12 >99% ▲ 38 88¢ 100¢ $3.6K
✓ October 13 >99% ▲ 70 100¢ 100¢ $23.7K
October 14 <1% ▲ 14 80¢ $1.25 $1.3K
October 15 52% ▲ 23 6¢ 85¢ $1.18 $1.5K
✓ October 16 >99% ▲ 32 100¢ 100¢ $1.7K
October 17 52% ▲ 1 3¢ 22¢ $4.55 $702
October 18 52% ▼ 29 54¢ 66¢ $1.52 $605
October 19 52% ▼ 33 6¢ 78¢ $1.28 $71
October 20 52% ▲ 37 47¢ 84¢ $1.19 $416
October 21 52% ▼ 6 45¢ 54¢ $1.85 $80
October 22 52% ▲ 1 7¢ 93¢ $1.08
October 23 52% ▲ 1 8¢ 92¢ $1.09
October 24 52% ▲ 1 7¢ 93¢ $1.08
October 25 52% ▼ 2 8¢ 92¢ $1.09
October 26 52% 7¢ 93¢ $1.08
October 27 52% ▲ 1 7¢ 93¢ $1.08
October 28 52% ▼ 1 7¢ 93¢ $1.08
October 29 52% ▲ 1 8¢ 93¢ $1.08
October 30 52% 7¢ 93¢ $1.08
October 31 52% ▲ 1 8¢ 93¢ $1.08

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Iran, Shipping, Hormuz

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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  • Benjamin Netanyahu28%▼ 2
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.