Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No Hormuz Agreement
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$1.1M
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$895K
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$525K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Prominent Iowa Newspaper Endorses Josh Turek In Senate RaceNewsweek · 17 min agoOct 27, 2026 at 02:44 PM EDT The editorial board of prominent Iowa newspaper The Des Moines Register has backed Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek over Republican opponent Ashley Hinson. It published its endorsement on Sunday, arguing…
Trump’s BLITZ: Can Republicans hold the Senate?Fox News · 5 h agoMidterm election campaigns intensify as President Donald Trump targets voters in Mississippi and Texas with rallies in Corpus Christi and Lubbock. Lauren Simonetti details the new Fox Power Rankings, ... Trump’s BLITZ: Can Republicans hold…
Mississippi Democrats appear to break Republican supermajority in state SenatePOLITICO · 4 h agoDemocrats generally fared well in statehouse elections Tuesday. The Mississippi Capitol is seen in Jackson on July 6, 2020. | Rogelio V. Solis/AP 11/06/2025 12:34 AM EST JACKSON, Mississippi — Mississippi Democrats appear to have broken a…
Inside John Thune's quiet effort to keep GOP's Senate majorityCBS News · 6 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Thune's precarious…
Flanagan vs Tafoya: 3 Factors That Could Deliver GOP Surprise Senate WinNewsweek · 17 min agoOct 27, 2026 at 02:29 PM EDT With only a week left until the midterm elections determine which party controls the House and Senate, Minnesota has emerged as a surprising state where Republicans stand a chance to flip a Senate seat…
Florida Senate race heats up between Angie Nixon and Ashley MoodyCBS News · 3 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Florida race heats…
Trump campaigning for Paxton in tight U.S. Senate race in TexasCBS News · 4 h agoPresident Trump will be doing a Texas two-step on Tuesday, making stops in both Corpus Christi and Lubbock as he tries to rally support for Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton, who is in a tight race against Democrat James Talarico…
Former rival dodges full-throated El-Sayed endorsement after bitter Senate primaryFox News · 4 h agoMichigan Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens discusses why she has not campaigned alongside Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed during an appearance on CNN's "State of the Union." (Credit: CNN "State of the Union" - Oct. 25) Rep. Haley…
Rep. Haley Stevens discusses support for Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-SayedFox News · 5 h agoMichigan Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens discusses why she has not campaigned alongside Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed during an appearance on CNN's "State of the Union." (Credit: CNN "State of the Union" - Oct. 25) Rep. Haley…
Jackson pulls ahead of Collins in Senate race, new Maine poll showsCBS News · 7 h agoPresident Trump continues supporting Republican candidates with campaign stops across the U.S. Meanwhile, musician John Legend campaigned for Democrats in Ohio, and a new Maine poll shows Democrat Troy Jackson leading Republican Susan…
Alaska’s GOP-led government moves to kill Trump-ordered suit over Senate resultsThe Washington Post · 3 h agoAlaska’s Republican-led state government is fighting the Justice Department’s attempt to prevent the certification of the state’s election for U.S. Senate if Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) narrowly loses — a lawsuit President Donald Trump has said…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
