Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ September 18
>99%
▲ 6
100¢
100¢
$1.6K
September 19
<1%
▼ 26
0¢
$394
September 20
9%
4¢
13¢
$7.75
$43.1K
September 21
23%
▼ 2
88¢
96¢
$1.04
$2.8K
September 22
23%
0¢
8¢
$12.50
$2.6K
✓ September 23
>99%
100¢
100¢
$2.2K
September 24
23%
4¢
11¢
$9.17
$963
September 25
<1%
▼ 8
1¢
$100.00
$58.6K
September 26
23%
2¢
8¢
$12.66
$15.9K
September 27
23%
3¢
13¢
$7.69
$662
September 28
61%
80¢
91¢
$1.10
$26K
September 29
61%
▲ 2
86¢
92¢
$1.09
$11.3K
September 30
61%
3¢
13¢
$7.69
$18.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
CENTCOM chief declares: Strait of Hormuz is free from Iranian minesIsrael National News · 16 h agoCENTCOM chief Adm. Brad Cooper visits the Strait of Hormuz as US forces report helping more than 3,000 ships transit the waterway and keeping shipping lanes clear of Iranian mines. CENTCOM chief declares: Strait of Hormuz is free from…
Europe's E3 weighs two-stage Iran plan, Hormuz firstintellinews.com · 23 h agoGermany, France and Britain are weighing a two-stage proposal for Tehran and Washington that would trade a deal on the Strait of Hormuz for talks on ...
US military says 95% of Hormuz ships safe despite Iran 'aggression'Yeni Şafak English · 14 h agoUS Central Command announced Sunday that commercial shipping across the Strait of Hormuz maintained a safety rate exceeding 95% in recent months despite hostilities with Tehran, citing American assistance to Gulf partners safeguarding…
A Netanyahu defeat would make Iran war harder for the U.S.CNBC · 14 h agoDania Arayssi, Senior Analyst at New Lines Institute explains how a Netanyahu election loss could significantly complicate a U.S. intervention in Iran, as Washington relies heavily on Israeli intelligence and partnership to avoid entering…
US has plans for major Iran strikes if Trump choosesCNN · 17 h agoUS forces in the Middle East are prepared to launch new, potentially major, military operations against Iran “within 96 hours of receiving” an order from President Donald Trump, according to two US officials. “It will be a big effort,” one…
Armed Forces bravery in upholding Hormuz symbol of Iran powerMehr News Agency · 33 h agoTEHRAN, Oct. 25 (MNA) â The commander of Iran's Army Navy has said that the valor and braveries of the naval personnel of the Armed Forces in safeguarding the strategic Strait of Hormuz is a symbol of Iranâs power on the international…
Forty Iranian sailors rescued off Sri Lanka coast after medical emergenciesBBC News · 18 h agoSri Lanka's foreign ministry says it has coordinated efforts to treat and repatriate 40 Iranian sailors suffering from unspecified medical emergencies in international waters off the island's southeastern coast. Ministry spokesperson…
New threats could push US and Iran toward warsemafor.com · 23 h agoThe US director of national intelligence warned that Iran was in the “advanced stages” of planning attacks against American officials abroad, prompting personnel evacuations and heightening the risk of a return to all-out war. US President…
Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warnsFox News · 23 h ago‘The Big Weekend Show’ co-hosts discuss President Donald Trump’s options for dealing with Iran as intelligence warns the regime may be ramping up efforts to target Americans. Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warns…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
