LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 3 · $457 today · $24.2K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

19%Raman 0-4%
  • Raman 0-4%19%▲ 1
  • Raman 4-8%14%▲ 4
  • Bass 0-4%14%▼ 1
  • Raman 8-12%14%
  • Bass 4-8%9%
  • Raman 12-16%9%
  • Bass 8-12%7%▲ 1
  • Bass 12-16%4%
  • Raman 20+%4%
  • Raman 16-20%3%▼ 1
  • Bass 20+%1%
  • Bass 16-20%1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Raman 0-4% 19% ▲ 1 19¢ 22¢ $4.55 $6.9K
Raman 4-8% 14% ▲ 4 12¢ 19¢ $5.26 $3.4K
Bass 0-4% 14% ▼ 1 13¢ 18¢ $5.59 $1.5K
Raman 8-12% 14% 14¢ 16¢ $6.25 $2.5K
Bass 4-8% 9% 9¢ 10¢ $9.62 $1.5K
Raman 12-16% 9% 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 $1.3K
Bass 8-12% 7% ▲ 1 4¢ 11¢ $9.35 $1.4K
Bass 12-16% 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.82 $966
Raman 20+% 4% 3¢ 6¢ $18.18 $1.6K
Raman 16-20% 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 $938
Bass 20+% 1% 1¢ 2¢ $52.63 $896
Bass 16-20% 1% 1¢ 2¢ $62.50 $1.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Margin of Victory, LA Mayoral

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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