Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Sat 12:00 PM ET · $9.5K today · $139K traded · $23.3K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

38%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez38%▲ 18
  • Jon Ossoff27%▼ 23
  • Gavin Newsom22%▼ 6
  • Kamala Harris<1%
  • Josh Shapiro<1%

How the odds have moved

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 31% on Oct 20, 38% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 38% ▲ 18 37¢ 39¢ $2.56 $32.8K
Jon Ossoff 27% ▼ 23 17¢ 36¢ $2.78 $62.4K
Gavin Newsom 22% ▼ 6 20¢ 24¢ $4.17 $38.4K
Kamala Harris <1% 0¢ $3.1K
Josh Shapiro <1% 0¢ $2.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom

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Elections › President 2028

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Elections › President 2028

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions