US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
67%October 22
- October 2267%
- October 2467%
- October 2867%▲ 5
6 more
- October 3167%▲ 3
- November 867%▲ 4
- November 1567%▲ 3
- November 2267%▲ 3
- November 3067%▲ 1
- December 3167%
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US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
The odds
93%October 21
- October 2193%
- October 3193%▲ 5
- November 3093%▲ 3
How the odds have moved
October 21: 90% on Oct 20, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ September 22 | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $31.9K | |
| ✓ September 25 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10.2K | ||
| ✓ September 30 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $32.2K | ||
| ✓ October 9 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $38.2K | ||
| ✓ October 12 | >99% | ▲ 3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $578K | |
| ✓ October 15 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1M | ||
| ✓ October 18 | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $22.2K | |
| October 21 | 93% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $69.6K | ||
| October 31 | 93% | ▲ 5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $703K |
| November 30 | 93% | ▲ 3 | 79¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | $25.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: US-Yemen
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions