Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 3 · $4.7K today · $356K traded · $35.5K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

196.4median
186234
Median 196.4Middle half 188.9 – 206.4

How the odds have moved

Median: 201.4 on Oct 20, 196.4 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Below 190 34% ▲ 1 35¢ 36¢ $2.78 $61.8K
190-194 11% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $20.3K
195-199 14% ▲ 3 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 $38.3K
200-204 12% ▼ 1 13¢ 13¢ $7.87 $29.9K
205-209 12% 12¢ 12¢ $8.20 $48K
210-214 5% ▼ 1 4¢ 6¢ $16.13 $19K
215-219 5% ▼ 3 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 $15.1K
220-224 6% ▲ 2 5¢ 7¢ $14.08 $63.4K
225-229 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ $27.78 $26.8K
230+ <1% 0¢ 1¢ $33.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Republican House

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Elections › President 2028

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Elections › President 2028

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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