2028 Democratic VP nominee

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $47 today · $124K traded · $84.9K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

8%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%
Elissa Slotkin8%
Pete Buttigieg7%
Andy Beshear6%
Wes Moore6%
James Talarico6%
Jon Ossoff5%
Gretchen Whitmer5%
Mark Kelly5%▼ 1
Raphael Warnock4%
Josh Shapiro3%
Gavin Newsom3%

33 more

Kamala Harris2%
Michelle Obama2%
Ruben Gallego2%
Ro Khanna2%
Amy Klobuchar2%
Hunter Biden2%
J.B. Pritzker1%
Roy Cooper1%
Rahm Emanuel1%
Jon Stewart1%
Stephen A. Smith1%
Cory Booker1%
Chris Murphy1%
Jamie Dimon1%
Zohran Mamdani1%
Barack Obama1%
Beto O'Rourke1%
Bernie Sanders1%
Dwayne Johnson1%
Graham Platner1%
Gina Raimondo1%
Hillary Clinton1%
Jared Polis1%
Andrew Yang1%
Elizabeth Warren1%
Jasmine Crockett1%
Liz Cheney1%
LeBron James1%
Phil Murphy1%
Tim Walz<1%
Mark Cuban<1%
John Fetterman<1%
Tony Evers<1%

How the odds have moved

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 9% on Oct 20, 8% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	8%		8¢	9¢	$11.76	309.2K
Elissa Slotkin	8%		8¢	8¢	$12.05	145.5K
Pete Buttigieg	7%		7¢	7¢	$13.70	154.5K
Andy Beshear	6%		5¢	6¢	$15.87	147.8K
Wes Moore	6%		6¢	6¢	$17.24	77.6K
James Talarico	6%		5¢	6¢	$16.67	182.8K
Jon Ossoff	5%		5¢	5¢	$20.83	159.5K
Gretchen Whitmer	5%		5¢	5¢	$20.41	218.0K
Mark Kelly	5%	▼ 1	4¢	5¢	$19.23	95.1K
Raphael Warnock	4%		4¢	4¢	$27.03	96.5K
Josh Shapiro	3%		3¢	4¢	$28.57	100.4K
Gavin Newsom	3%		3¢	3¢	$35.71	171.8K
Kamala Harris	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	148.4K
Michelle Obama	2%		1¢	2¢	$55.56	123.0K
Ruben Gallego	2%		1¢	2¢	$52.63	58.7K
Ro Khanna	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	105.6K
Amy Klobuchar	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	62.8K
Hunter Biden	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	125.4K
J.B. Pritzker	1%		1¢	2¢	$52.63	81.0K
Roy Cooper	1%		1¢	2¢	$58.82	80.4K
Rahm Emanuel	1%			1¢	$100.00	33.0K
Jon Stewart	1%			1¢	$100.00	27.3K
Stephen A. Smith	1%			1¢	$100.00	2.4K
Cory Booker	1%			1¢	$100.00	13.7K
Chris Murphy	1%			1¢	$100.00	22.7K
Jamie Dimon	1%			1¢	$100.00	6.4K
Zohran Mamdani	1%			1¢	$100.00	97.0K
Barack Obama	1%			1¢	$100.00	15.1K
Beto O'Rourke	1%			1¢	$100.00	1.0K
Bernie Sanders	1%			1¢	$100.00	13.3K
Dwayne Johnson	1%			1¢	$100.00	6.2K
Graham Platner	1%			1¢	$100.00	74.5K
Gina Raimondo	1%			1¢	$100.00	60.0K
Hillary Clinton	1%			1¢	$100.00	1.6K
Jared Polis	1%			1¢	$100.00	2.7K
Andrew Yang	1%			1¢	$100.00	14.2K
Elizabeth Warren	1%			1¢	$100.00	2.9K
Jasmine Crockett	1%			1¢	$100.00	4.6K
Liz Cheney	1%			1¢	$100.00	4.5K
LeBron James	1%			1¢	$100.00	2.5K
Phil Murphy	1%			1¢	$100.00	993
Tim Walz	<1%		0¢	0¢		82.3K
Mark Cuban	<1%		0¢	0¢		56.3K
John Fetterman	<1%		0¢	0¢		83.4K
Tony Evers	<1%		0¢	0¢		13.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

2028 Democratic VP nomineeAlexandria Ocasio-CortezKalshi 8%Crypto.com 14%5 pts apart

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

14%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
Elissa Slotkin9%
Pete Buttigieg8%
Andy Beshear7%

16 more

Wes Moore6%
Mark Kelly6%
Gretchen Whitmer5%
Jon Ossoff5%
Gavin Newsom5%
Raphael Warnock5%
Josh Shapiro5%
Kamala Harris4%
Ruben Gallego4%
Michelle Obama3%
J.B. Pritzker3%
Mark Cuban3%
Roy Cooper3%
Tim Walz3%
Tony Evers2%
John Fetterman2%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

2028 Democratic VP nomineePete ButtigiegKalshi 7%Polymarket 5%2 pts apart

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

10%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
Wes Moore6%▲ 1
Elissa Slotkin6%
Pete Buttigieg5%▲ 1

39 more

Andy Beshear5%▲ 1
James Talarico5%
Gretchen Whitmer5%
Jon Ossoff4%
Zohran Mamdani4%▼ 11
Mark Kelly4%
Kim Kardashian3%▲ 1
Raphael Warnock3%
Phil Murphy3%
Chris Murphy3%
Andrew Yang2%▲ 1
Roy Cooper2%▼ 1
Bernie Sanders2%▼ 1
J.B. Pritzker2%▼ 1
Rahm Emanuel2%
Josh Shapiro2%
LeBron James2%
Gavin Newsom2%
Ro Khanna2%
Gina Raimondo2%
Ruben Gallego2%
Kamala Harris1%
Barack Obama1%
Tim Walz1%
Michelle Obama1%
Jon Stewart1%
Oprah Winfrey1%
Hillary Clinton1%▲ 1
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
Hunter Biden1%
George Clooney1%
Stephen A. Smith1%
Jared Polis1%
Chelsea Clinton1%
Cory Booker1%
John Fetterman<1%
Beto O’Rourke<1%
Liz Cheney<1%
Mark Cuban<1%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Democratic VP, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Elissa Slotkin

Search ›

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns for Troy Jackson, touts shared progressive values@WABI_TV5 · 3 days agoPORTLAND, Maine - Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) traveled to Maine on Thursday to take the stage with Senate candidate Troy Jackson in Portland. The two took several questions from college students at the event hosted by “More…
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez appeals to Maine women at rally with Troy JacksonBangor Daily News · 3 days agoPORTLAND, Maine — U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez urged Maine women to back Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Troy Jackson at a Portland town hall Thursday, arguing health care and families would be best served by ousting Republican Sen…
Pete Buttigieg joins Ossoff in Atlanta rallyYahoo News · 24 h agoSen. Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg launched an Avondale Estates canvass. "This election is our last best chance to at least rein in some of the foolishness of this administration," Obama said. President Donald Trump and first lady Melania…
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns with Troy Jackson in PortlandYahoo News · 3 days agoJackson and Ocasio-Cortez were in lockstep on many progressive policies like defunding ICE and Medicare for All. By Yimou Lee YILAN, Taiwan, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Almost all of Taiwan shut down on Friday ahead of the arrival of Typhoon…
Senate Ethics Complaint Filed Against Sen. Elissa Slotkiniotwreport.com · 19 h agoUniversity of Chicago Student Files a Senate Ethics Complaint Against Sen. Elissa Slotkin. h/t joe6pak Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Do You Like Me? Send Me a Monetary Gift By Clicking the…
Elissa Slotkin threatens another round of lawfareWashington Examiner · 4 days agoWashington Examiner Democrats don’t want young conservatives in government, and they are threatening to use the legal system to harass those who choose to serve. That is the “deterrence” message that Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) sent to…
Young Republicans accuse Elissa Slotkin of trying to ‘intimidate’ Trump staffersFox News · 4 days agoFox News Young Republicans accuse Elissa Slotkin of trying to ‘intimidate’ Trump staffers Campus Reform correspondent Gregory Lyakhov and UW-Madison president of College Republicans Courtney Graves react to comments made by Sen. Elissa…
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez stumps for Jackson in Maine U.S. Senate raceThe Black Chronicle · 4 days agoThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) — Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is set to visit Maine on Thursday to stump for Democrat Troy Jackson, with the latest polls showing him locked in a tight U.S. Senate race against Republican…
WHO IS HIDING SENATOR ELISSA SLOTKIN’S SECRET WORK WITH JOE BIDEN’S UKRAINIAN CRIME SYNDICATE?freerepublic.com · 19 h agoIt’s time to fully investigate Michigan Senator Elissa Slotkin for her hidden role in the ongoing conspiracy by Democrat operatives to cover for the crimes Joe Biden committed in Ukraine during his vice presidency. And that conspiracy is…
To Stop Elissa Slotkin’s Revenge, President Trump Should Pardon All His Staffersfreerepublic.com · 19 h agoDemocrat Senator Elissa Slotkin, currently one of the CIA’s Senators tangentially from Michigan, who repeatedly acts as an object lesson in demonstrating what GLP-1 overuse does to the brain, decided to let her traitor-hunting flag fly at…
Brown-Shirt Elissa Slotkin Officially Goes FULL FASCIST Even While Trying to Play the Victimtwitchy.com · 48 h agoI had to watch Elissa Slotkin’s latest performance twice just to make sure I wasn’t hallucinating the sheer audacity. There she is, standing in front of the American and Michigan flags, solemnly informing the rest of us that fear is the…
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez becomes latest politician sent suspicious letterNews 12 - Bronx · 4 days agoOct 21, 2026, 6:18 AM Rep. Alexandria Ocasio Cortez confirmed that her district office in The Bronx was sent a suspicious letter on Tuesday. The New York Democrat released a statement expressing gratitude for law enforcement’s quick…

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R Senate, D House25%
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17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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Roy Cooper<1%
Chris Murphy<1%
Ruben Gallego<1%
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Hillary Clinton<1%
Hunter Biden<1%
Chris Van Hollen<1%
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21%JD Vance

JD Vance21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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Donald Trump Jr.1%
Ted Cruz1%
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Gretchen Whitmer<1%
Jamie Dimon<1%
Glenn Youngkin<1%
Tulsi Gabbard<1%
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Eric Trump<1%
Pete Hegseth<1%
Jalen Brunson<1%
Abigail Spanberger<1%
Hakeem Jeffries<1%
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Adam Schiff<1%
Josh Stein<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
Candace Owens<1%
Tim Scott<1%
Mike Johnson<1%
Doug Burgum<1%
Tom Cotton<1%
John N. Kennedy<1%
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48.2median

46.557.5

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

92%Democratic Party

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Republican Party8%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onDemocratic Party

Trading closesNov 7, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$124K (3,286,432 contracts)

Today$47

At stake$84.9K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Gavin Newsom accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions