When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? (2028 President of the United States race)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Oct 1, 2027 · $1.5K traded · $718 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

Jun 1, 2027even chance by
  • Before Jan 1, 20278%▲ 1
  • Before Feb 1, 202717%▲ 1
  • Before Apr 1, 202741%▲ 1
  • Before Jul 1, 202755%▲ 1
  • Before Oct 1, 202767%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 7% on Oct 20, 8% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 8% ▲ 1 6¢ 9¢ $11.24 3.8K
Before Feb 1, 2027 17% ▲ 1 14¢ 20¢ $5.00 20.00
Before Apr 1, 2027 41% ▲ 1 37¢ 45¢ $2.22 715
Before Jul 1, 2027 55% ▲ 1 51¢ 58¢ $1.72 1.7K
Before Oct 1, 2027 67% ▲ 1 63¢ 70¢ $1.43 31.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: JD Vance

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Elections › President 2028

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17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom16%▲ 1
  • Jon Ossoff16%
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  • Kamala Harris7%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
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  • Mark Kelly2%
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  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
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  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
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  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
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  • Chris Murphy<1%
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  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
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  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
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  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
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  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
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  • LeBron James<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
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  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
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  • Ivanka Trump1%
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  • Pete Hegseth<1%
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  • John Thune<1%
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  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%JD Vance
  • JD Vance21%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom10%▲ 1
51 more
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.