What will JD Vance say during his announcement?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closed Tue 4:42 PM ET · $10.2K today · $10.2K traded · $8.8K at stake

Settled Taxpayer, Fraud, Democrat

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ Taxpayer99%
  • ✓ Fraud99%
  • ✓ Democrat99%
  • ✓ Afford / Affordable / Affordability99%
  • Ceasefire2%
  • Healthcare1%
  • Trump (3+ times)1%
  • Medicare / Medicaid1%
  • Biden1%
  • Economy / Economic1%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
  • Working Class / Middle Class1%
6 more
  • America First1%
  • American Dream1%
  • Event does not qualify1%
  • Midterm1%
  • ID / Identification1%
  • Socialist / Socialism1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Taxpayer 99% 1.2K
✓ Fraud 99% 2.7K
✓ Democrat 99% 2.0K
✓ Afford / Affordable / Affordability 99% 4.1K
✗ Ceasefire 2% 691
✗ Healthcare 1% 712
✗ Trump (3+ times) 1% 3.3K
✗ Medicare / Medicaid 1% 2.2K
✗ Biden 1% 1.4K
✗ Economy / Economic 1% 4.9K
✗ AI / Artificial Intelligence 1% 2.9K
✗ Working Class / Middle Class 1% 1.1K
✗ America First 1% 1.6K
✗ American Dream 1% 792
✗ Event does not qualify 1% 1.4K
✗ Midterm 1% 2.3K
✗ ID / Identification 1% 1.1K
✗ Socialist / Socialism 1% 1.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: JD Vance, Oval Office

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

93%Democrat
  • Democrat93%▲ 2
  • Farm / Farmer88%▼ 2
  • Election87%▲ 2
25 more
  • Border85%▼ 2
  • Biden83%▼ 5
  • Economy / Economic79%▲ 23
  • Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime78%▲ 5
  • Manufacture / Manufacturing77%▲ 14
  • 2028 / Campaign75%▲ 1
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability72%▼ 3
  • Fraud71%▼ 15
  • Illegal Alien71%▲ 12
  • Social Security66%▼ 2
  • Inflation66%▲ 23
  • Healthcare64%▲ 5
  • Fertilizer63%▲ 4
  • America First63%
  • Working Class / Middle Class62%▲ 9
  • Steel42%▼ 3
  • Small Business40%▲ 4
  • Made in America / American Made39%▲ 30
  • Radical Left38%▲ 5
  • China / Chinese38%▲ 16
  • Tariff37%▲ 27
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline37%▼ 10
  • American Dream27%▼ 3
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence14%▲ 6
  • Event does not qualify2%
KalshiCloses Nov 9 · $3.4K today

What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

75%Economy / Economic
  • Economy / Economic75%
  • Democrat74%
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability70%
17 more
  • Fraud65%
  • Trump (3+ times)63%
  • Working Class / Middle Class62%
  • Iran / Iranian56%
  • Inflation56%
  • Biden56%
  • Nuclear54%
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline52%
  • 2028 / Campaign51%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence44%
  • China / Chinese42%
  • America First42%
  • Manufacture / Manufacturing36%
  • Tariff35%
  • Data Center26%
  • Healthcare23%
  • Event does not qualify7%▼ 1

What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

100%Bibi / Netanyahu
  • Bibi / Netanyahu100%▲ 37
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice100%▲ 87
  • Stupid Question16%▼ 2
15 more
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome12%▼ 17
  • Autopen / Auto Pen3%▼ 19
  • Zohran / Mamdani3%▼ 14
  • Tomahawk3%▼ 14
  • Antifa3%▼ 3
  • UFO / UAP3%▼ 3
  • Zacharia2%▼ 5
  • Houthi2%▼ 18
  • Golden Dome2%▼ 5
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis2%▼ 7
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%▼ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 4
  • Uranium1%▼ 4
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market1%▼ 1
  • Make Iran Great Again1%▼ 2
KalshiCloses tomorrow 10:00 AM ET · $153K today

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan?

100%AI / Artificial Intelligence
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence100%
  • Corrupt / Corruption100%
  • Iran / Iranian100%
20 more
  • Housing / Rent100%
  • Trump (5+ times)100%
  • Midterm100%
  • Data Center100%
  • Immigrant / Immigration90%
  • AIPAC89%
  • Social Security85%
  • Climate80%
  • Robot / Robotic / Robotics75%
  • China / Chinese70%
  • Socialist / Socialism61%
  • Israel / Netanyahu55%
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI49%
  • Minimum Wage44%
  • Altman41%
  • Crypto / Cryptocurrency40%
  • Student Loan / Student Debt36%
  • Billionaire (5+ times)33%
  • Zohran / Mamdani28%
  • Event does not qualify1%
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $19.7K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

95%Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating95%▲ 5
  • Save America Act93%▼ 2
  • Barack Hussein Obama92%▲ 5
32 more
  • America First92%▲ 31
  • Sleepy Joe89%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)89%▲ 6
  • Sanctuary88%▲ 9
  • ICE85%▼ 1
  • Tariff (3+ times)84%▲ 6
  • France83%▲ 7
  • China / Chinese82%▼ 2
  • Iran (5+ times)81%▲ 7
  • Drill Baby Drill77%▲ 9
  • Made in America / American Made74%▲ 14
  • Russia / Ukraine73%▼ 4
  • Supreme Court71%▼ 13
  • Hormuz70%▲ 9
  • Kamala67%▼ 10
  • Gulf of America66%▼ 8
  • Data Center63%▲ 26
  • Blockade47%▼ 14
  • Electricity42%▼ 16
  • Israel / Israeli34%▼ 2
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence32%▼ 6
  • Trump Account30%▼ 1
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation27%▼ 3
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%▼ 1
  • Fraud (3+ times)24%▲ 3
  • Windmill21%▲ 5
  • Fentanyl16%▼ 5
  • Ceasefire11%▼ 4
  • Palestine / Palestinian9%
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $15.9K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions