Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democrat
96%
▲ 5
95¢
97¢
$1.03
631
Election
89%
▲ 2
87¢
90¢
$1.11
272
Farm / Farmer
88%
▼ 2
71¢
88¢
$1.14
111
Border
87%
▼ 1
85¢
88¢
$1.14
509
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
85%
▲ 7
68¢
81¢
$1.23
149
Biden
84%
80¢
87¢
$1.15
265
Fraud
80%
▼ 6
69¢
80¢
$1.25
180
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime
79%
▲ 5
77¢
80¢
$1.25
136
2028 / Campaign
78%
▲ 3
75¢
80¢
$1.25
384
Manufacture / Manufacturing
67%
▲ 4
63¢
70¢
$1.43
178
Illegal Alien
66%
▲ 7
51¢
65¢
$1.54
350
Working Class / Middle Class
64%
▲ 9
59¢
69¢
$1.45
1.2K
Economy / Economic
64%
45¢
64¢
$1.56
276
Social Security
63%
▼ 6
60¢
73¢
$1.37
219
Healthcare
61%
▲ 26
50¢
61¢
$1.64
252
Inflation
58%
▲ 8
53¢
63¢
$1.59
158
Radical Left
48%
▲ 23
47¢
48¢
$2.08
2.3K
Steel
45%
43¢
47¢
$2.13
462
Fertilizer
45%
▼ 16
42¢
48¢
$2.08
128
American Dream
34%
▲ 9
34¢
46¢
$2.17
319
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
32%
▼ 6
28¢
36¢
$2.78
684
Small Business
32%
▼ 8
30¢
33¢
$3.03
669
America First
32%
▲ 14
28¢
35¢
$2.86
891
Tariff
30%
▲ 20
25¢
34¢
$2.94
603
China / Chinese
28%
▲ 5
25¢
31¢
$3.23
266
Made in America / American Made
14%
▲ 6
13¢
14¢
$7.14
1.4K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
12%
▼ 7
10¢
14¢
$7.14
876
Event does not qualify
1%
▼ 2
1¢
$100.00
892
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in ClevelandFox News · 32 h agoFormer President Barack Obama returned to the campaign circuit Saturday during a midterm rally in Ohio for U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton. Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in Cleveland…
Obama blames Trump for voter frustrations in first of two midterm ralliescnn.com · 30 h agoThe former president described the second Trump administration as ‘two years of chaos and cruelty and corruption and incompetence’ ... Obama blames Trump for voter frustrations in first of two midterm rallies The former president described…
2020 #1 Overall Pick Joe Burrow remarks on visit from V.P. JD VanceYahoo Sports · 41 h agoIf you believe that politics don't belong in sports, then you will likely love this soundbite from Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow. Because nothing says "stick to sports" like the way he fielded this question about the vice…
In first midterm rally, Obama blasts Trump administrationThe Washington Post · 31 h agoDemocrats have embraced the former president as their most effective closing messenger in the final weeks of the high-stakes midterm campaign. Former president Barack Obama returned to the campaign trail Saturday and tore into his…
LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Perry, GeorgiaEpochTV · 30 h agoPresident Donald Trump participates in a midterm election rally hosted by Trump 47 Committee, Inc. at 7 p.m. ET on Oct. 24 in Perry, Georgia. LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Perry, Georgia
WATCH LIVE: Trump Holds Midterm Rally in Perry, GeorgiaThe Gateway Pundit · 30 h agoPresident Trump will speak at a midterm rally in Perry, Georgia, tonight for Senate nominee Mike Collins and gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson. Trump is holding the rally at the Guardian Centers of Georgia, a training complex for military…
Vice President JD Vance to visit Michigan a week before Nov. 3 electionWWMT · 36 h agoHOWELL, Mich. — Vice President JD Vance will speak at a rally in Howell next week, exactly one week before the midterm election. Vice President Vance will appear at a noon rally at CHI Aviation, according to an article by CBS Detroit…
JD Vance greets members of Cincinnati BengalsFox News · 2 days agoVice President JD Vance is greeted by Cincinnati Bengals head coach Zac Taylor outside of the team's locker room while visiting a recent practice. JD Vance greets members of Cincinnati Bengals Vice President JD Vance is greeted by…
Obama and Trump Hold Rival Midterm RalliesThe Rio Times · 31 h agoUNITED STATES · ANALYSIS Barack Obama and Donald Trump spent Saturday, October 24, on opposite sides of the final midterm push. It is the last full weekend of campaigning before the 2026 US midterm elections on Tuesday, November 3, 2026…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions