What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?
1%Iran (5+ times)
- Iran (5+ times)1%▼ 64
- Veteran1%▼ 55
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%▼ 47
1 more
- Fraud (3+ times)1%▼ 10
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What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?
The odds
73%Economy / Economic
- Economy / Economic73%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence67%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline66%
- Iran / Iranian63%
- Democrat62%
- Working Class / Middle Class61%
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability58%
- Fraud57%
- China / Chinese43%
- Nuclear40%
- Tariff36%
- Manufacture / Manufacturing30%
3 more
- Healthcare23%
- Data Center18%
- Event does not qualify7%▲ 5
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy / Economic | 73% | 63¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 12.00 | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 67% | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | ||
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 66% | 51¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 9.00 | |
| Iran / Iranian | 63% | 34¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 77.00 | |
| Democrat | 62% | 57¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | ||
| Working Class / Middle Class | 61% | 37¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 21.00 | |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 58% | 47¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 21.00 | |
| Fraud | 57% | 40¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 61.00 | |
| China / Chinese | 43% | 42¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 7.00 | |
| Nuclear | 40% | 23¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 77.00 | |
| Tariff | 36% | 35¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 30% | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | ||
| Healthcare | 23% | 18¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| Data Center | 18% | 2¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 55.00 | |
| Event does not qualify | 7% | ▲ 5 | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Times DealBook Summit, NYT DealBook Summit, JD Vance
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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All politicians ›What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)
100%Barack Hussein Obama
- Barack Hussein Obama100%
- Sleepy Joe100%
- Dividend / Stimulus100%
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- Golf / Golfer / Golfing100%
- Moon100%
- Ilhan / Omar100%
- Diesel100%
- Soleimani100%
- Blockade85%
- Ethanol77%
- Houthi75%
- Rigged Election / Stolen Election75%
- Bibi / Netanyahu74%
- Vivek / Ramaswamy71%
- Autopen / Auto Pen69%
- Ceasefire67%
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome57%
- Cuba / Cuban51%
- Stupid Question39%
- Nobel34%
- Tomahawk28%
- Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice28%
- Zohran / Mamdani21%
- Uranium19%
- Zacharia18%
- Antifa18%
- Cybersecurity / Cyber Security16%
- Third Term15%
- Crypto / Bitcoin12%
- Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis11%
- Peace in the Middle East9%
- UFO / UAP8%
- Prediction Market / Predictive Market8%
- Golden Dome7%
- Make Iran Great Again6%
- Epstein5%
What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?
98%Transgender
- Transgender98%▲ 1
- Save America Act97%▲ 2
- Healthcare97%▲ 8
31 more
- Dividend / Stimulus97%▲ 7
- Hottest96%▲ 3
- Stock Market94%▲ 8
- Russia / Ukraine86%▲ 6
- Sanctuary84%▲ 7
- Helene80%▲ 5
- Estate Tax / Death Tax80%▲ 8
- Small Business72%▲ 17
- Nuclear (3+ times)72%▲ 9
- Kamala66%
- Lumbee66%▼ 2
- Farm / Farmer61%▼ 23
- Iran (5+ times)60%▼ 11
- Made in America / American Made60%▼ 1
- FEMA46%▼ 5
- Gulf of America42%▲ 1
- Hormuz41%▼ 3
- Veteran40%▼ 13
- Power Plant38%
- Deport / Deported / Deportation31%▲ 11
- Electricity28%▼ 14
- Social Security (5+ times)27%▼ 20
- AI / Artificial Intelligence27%▼ 4
- Windmill25%▲ 4
- Fentanyl21%▼ 2
- America First16%▼ 3
- Data Center13%▼ 3
- Fraud (3+ times)11%▼ 3
- Ceasefire3%▼ 1
- Event does not qualify2%
- Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso?
1%Social Security
- Social Security1%▼ 74
- Abbott1%▼ 21
- Immigrant / Immigration1%▼ 40
2 more
- Data Center1%▼ 54
- Border1%▼ 29
What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?
91%Event does not qualify
- Event does not qualify91%▲ 89
- Corrupt / Corruption9%▼ 78
- Tax Break8%▼ 82
22 more
- Billionaire (5+ times)7%▼ 82
- Climate7%▼ 76
- Elon / Musk7%▼ 89
- Iran / Iranian7%▼ 79
- Israel / Netanyahu7%▼ 67
- Immigrant / Immigration7%▼ 25
- Working Class6%▼ 87
- Midterm6%▼ 76
- Social Security6%▼ 75
- Data Center6%▼ 50
- Bernie6%▼ 54
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline6%▼ 84
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics6%▼ 49
- China / Chinese6%▼ 37
- Trump (5+ times)5%▼ 83
- AI / Artificial Intelligence5%▼ 89
- Socialist / Socialism5%▼ 26
- Farm / Farmer4%▼ 13
- Zohran / Mamdani2%▼ 12
- Zillion / Zillionaire2%▼ 20
- Trillionaire2%▼ 5
- ChatGPT / OpenAI1%▼ 4
What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston?
93%Elon / Musk
- Elon / Musk93%▼ 1
- Working Class89%▼ 1
- AI / Artificial Intelligence89%▲ 1
24 more
- Tax Break88%▼ 1
- Billionaire (5+ times)86%▲ 5
- Housing / Rent84%▲ 13
- Iran / Iranian83%▲ 6
- Trump (5+ times)82%▼ 6
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline80%▼ 6
- Israel / Netanyahu77%▲ 2
- Corrupt / Corruption72%▼ 5
- Midterm63%▲ 1
- Social Security56%▼ 24
- Climate55%▼ 26
- Robot / Robotic / Robotics52%▼ 17
- Data Center44%▼ 24
- China / Chinese37%▲ 3
- Bernie28%▼ 31
- Zillion / Zillionaire27%▲ 6
- Immigrant / Immigration23%▼ 3
- Trillionaire23%▲ 1
- Socialist / Socialism19%
- Student Loan / Student Debt18%▼ 2
- Abbott14%▼ 5
- Zohran / Mamdani10%▼ 12
- ChatGPT / OpenAI7%
- Event does not qualify4%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.