What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 10 · $15K today · $47K traded · $34.5K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

96%Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating96%▲ 3
  • Save America Act94%▼ 1
  • Barack Hussein Obama89%
  • Sleepy Joe87%▼ 1
  • Sanctuary87%▲ 3
  • America First87%▲ 15
  • Tariff (3+ times)85%▲ 2
  • China / Chinese84%▲ 11
  • Iran (5+ times)83%▲ 3
  • France82%▲ 4
  • Russia / Ukraine82%▲ 10
  • Supreme Court77%▼ 8
23 more
  • ICE77%▼ 9
  • Nuclear (3+ times)77%▼ 10
  • Hormuz75%▲ 11
  • Made in America / American Made73%▲ 9
  • Gulf of America66%▼ 6
  • Drill Baby Drill64%▼ 3
  • Kamala57%▼ 13
  • Blockade56%▲ 2
  • Data Center52%▲ 8
  • Israel / Israeli39%▲ 5
  • Electricity37%▼ 23
  • Social Security (5+ times)25%
  • Fraud (3+ times)23%▲ 1
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence23%▼ 10
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation23%▼ 5
  • Trump Account22%▼ 7
  • Windmill19%▲ 1
  • Fentanyl14%▲ 1
  • Palestine / Palestinian8%▼ 1
  • Ceasefire7%▼ 7
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%

How the odds have moved

Cheat / Cheater / Cheating: 79% on Oct 21, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating 96% ▲ 3 95¢ 96¢ $1.04 1.3K
Save America Act 94% ▼ 1 93¢ 94¢ $1.06 4.4K
Barack Hussein Obama 89% 88¢ 89¢ $1.12 4.3K
Sleepy Joe 87% ▼ 1 86¢ 88¢ $1.14 1.7K
Sanctuary 87% ▲ 3 86¢ 88¢ $1.14 4.6K
America First 87% ▲ 15 86¢ 87¢ $1.15 6.6K
Tariff (3+ times) 85% ▲ 2 83¢ 86¢ $1.16 1.6K
China / Chinese 84% ▲ 11 83¢ 85¢ $1.18 401
Iran (5+ times) 83% ▲ 3 82¢ 83¢ $1.20 3.0K
France 82% ▲ 4 81¢ 83¢ $1.20 2.8K
Russia / Ukraine 82% ▲ 10 81¢ 82¢ $1.22 1.5K
Supreme Court 77% ▼ 8 76¢ 77¢ $1.30 3.2K
ICE 77% ▼ 9 76¢ 77¢ $1.30 1.5K
Nuclear (3+ times) 77% ▼ 10 76¢ 77¢ $1.30 2.3K
Hormuz 75% ▲ 11 74¢ 76¢ $1.32 1.2K
Made in America / American Made 73% ▲ 9 71¢ 75¢ $1.33 2.0K
Gulf of America 66% ▼ 6 65¢ 67¢ $1.49 1.6K
Drill Baby Drill 64% ▼ 3 63¢ 65¢ $1.54 3.7K
Kamala 57% ▼ 13 55¢ 60¢ $1.67 1.3K
Blockade 56% ▲ 2 55¢ 56¢ $1.79 989
Data Center 52% ▲ 8 51¢ 52¢ $1.92 3.5K
Israel / Israeli 39% ▲ 5 38¢ 40¢ $2.50 768
Electricity 37% ▼ 23 34¢ 39¢ $2.56 1.2K
Social Security (5+ times) 25% 24¢ 25¢ $4.00 237
Fraud (3+ times) 23% ▲ 1 21¢ 25¢ $4.00 1.6K
AI / Artificial Intelligence 23% ▼ 10 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 953
Deport / Deported / Deportation 23% ▼ 5 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 4.5K
Trump Account 22% ▼ 7 21¢ 23¢ $4.35 2.2K
Windmill 19% ▲ 1 17¢ 20¢ $5.00 2.9K
Fentanyl 14% ▲ 1 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 2.8K
Palestine / Palestinian 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 2.1K
Ceasefire 7% ▼ 7 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 5.1K
Event does not qualify 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 1.2K
Peace in the Middle East 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 10.5K
Crypto / Bitcoin 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 7.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lubbock, Texas

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97%Save America Act
  • Save America Act97%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)93%
  • China / Chinese90%
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  • Iran (5+ times)90%
  • Ilhan / Omar86%
  • Tariff (3+ times)85%
  • America First82%
  • ICE81%
  • Hormuz77%
  • Made in America / American Made70%
  • Russia / Ukraine69%
  • Gulf of America61%
  • Elon / Musk60%
  • Kamala59%
  • Supreme Court57%
  • Data Center57%
  • Veteran53%
  • Blockade48%
  • Israel / Israeli41%
  • Insurance38%
  • Electricity34%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence28%
  • Drill Baby Drill22%
  • Social Security (5+ times)19%
  • Trump Account18%
  • Fraud (3+ times)17%
  • Hegseth16%
  • Palestine / Palestinian14%
  • Windmill14%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation13%
  • Fentanyl11%
  • Ceasefire5%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Event does not qualify1%
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What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

99%Bibi / Netanyahu
  • Bibi / Netanyahu99%▲ 53
  • Autopen / Auto Pen<1%▼ 19
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome<1%▼ 13
14 more
  • Zohran / Mamdani<1%▼ 10
  • Stupid Question<1%▼ 19
  • Tomahawk<1%▼ 9
  • Zacharia<1%▼ 4
  • Houthi<1%▼ 6
  • Golden Dome<1%▼ 3
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis<1%▼ 9
  • Crypto / Bitcoin<1%▼ 3
  • Uranium<1%▼ 1
  • Antifa<1%▼ 8
  • Peace in the Middle East<1%▼ 3
  • UFO / UAP<1%▼ 2
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market<1%▼ 2
  • Make Iran Great Again<1%▼ 1
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What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

96%Save America Act
  • Save America Act96%▲ 1
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating93%▲ 2
  • Barack Hussein Obama90%▲ 5
32 more
  • China / Chinese85%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)84%▼ 1
  • Gulf of America84%▼ 3
  • Sanctuary83%▲ 3
  • Sleepy Joe81%▲ 3
  • ICE81%▲ 5
  • Iran (5+ times)81%▲ 11
  • Supreme Court80%▼ 5
  • Tariff (3+ times)77%
  • Hormuz76%▲ 6
  • France74%▼ 9
  • America First73%▲ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine72%▲ 5
  • Drill Baby Drill70%▼ 2
  • Made in America / American Made68%▲ 6
  • Kamala59%▼ 5
  • Blockade44%▼ 8
  • Data Center40%▼ 3
  • Israel / Israeli32%▼ 4
  • Electricity30%▼ 12
  • Fraud (3+ times)26%▲ 5
  • Trump Account23%▼ 10
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation22%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence18%▼ 13
  • Fentanyl14%▲ 1
  • Social Security (5+ times)12%▼ 3
  • Windmill12%▼ 2
  • Palestine / Palestinian6%▼ 5
  • Ceasefire5%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
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What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

88%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene88%▼ 2
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck70%▲ 17
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus70%▲ 1
10 more
  • Piggy50%
  • Fat Slob34%▼ 1
  • Low Energy26%▲ 2
  • Crazy Nancy25%▲ 1
  • Crazy Bernie20%▲ 2
  • Fake Tapper16%▲ 12
  • Little Communist14%▲ 1
  • Biden Crime Family13%
  • Rocket Man11%▲ 1
  • Comrade Kamala10%▲ 1
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What companies will Trump say in October? (Before Nov 1, 2026)

100%Amazon / AMZN
  • Amazon / AMZN100%
  • Paramount / PSKY100%
  • X / Twitter75%▲ 18
18 more
  • Honda / HMC70%▲ 24
  • ExxonMobil / XOM49%▲ 19
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI47%▼ 2
  • Chevron / CVX36%▼ 22
  • BBC34%▼ 2
  • Anthropic / Claude32%▼ 2
  • JPMorgan / JPM27%▲ 6
  • Caterpillar21%▼ 9
  • Oracle / ORCL20%▼ 13
  • BlackRock16%▼ 3
  • Netflix / NFLX15%▲ 1
  • Turning Point13%▼ 2
  • Airbnb / ABNB13%▲ 1
  • Qualcomm / QCOM12%▲ 1
  • DoorDash / DASH11%▼ 1
  • Mastercard / MA8%▼ 12
  • Verizon7%▲ 1
  • Rigetti / RGTI3%▼ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions