The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
100%
▲ 60
99¢
4.9K
Cuba / Cuban
100%
99¢
4.8K
Ceasefire
100%
99¢
8.6K
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security
100%
99¢
30.5K
Epstein
100%
▲ 96
99¢
11.4K
✓ Barack Hussein Obama
99%
$1.01
1.7K
✓ Sleepy Joe
99%
$1.01
7.3K
✓ Dividend / Stimulus
99%
$1.01
3.0K
✓ Superintelligence / Super Intelligence
99%
$1.01
1.2K
✓ Golf / Golfer / Golfing
99%
$1.01
5.3K
✓ Melania
99%
$1.01
1.1K
✓ Blockade
99%
▲ 14
$1.01
5.4K
✓ Moon
99%
$1.01
2.5K
✓ Nobel
99%
▲ 65
$1.01
2.4K
✓ Ilhan / Omar
99%
$1.01
1.5K
✓ Vivek / Ramaswamy
99%
▲ 61
$1.01
2.5K
✓ Diesel
99%
$1.01
2.3K
✓ Ethanol
99%
▲ 25
$1.01
6.2K
✓ Third Term
99%
▲ 84
$1.01
13.6K
✓ Soleimani
99%
$1.01
2.7K
Bibi / Netanyahu
62%
▼ 7
60¢
64¢
$1.56
4.1K
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
30%
▲ 1
26¢
34¢
$2.94
2.8K
Autopen / Auto Pen
22%
▼ 8
21¢
22¢
$4.55
1.0K
Stupid Question
16%
▼ 26
15¢
17¢
$5.88
4.5K
Tomahawk
16%
▼ 9
13¢
18¢
$5.56
4.3K
Houthi
15%
▼ 9
10¢
20¢
$5.00
2.2K
Zohran / Mamdani
14%
▼ 7
12¢
16¢
$6.25
2.0K
Antifa
11%
▲ 3
7¢
15¢
$6.67
2.2K
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
10%
▼ 13
8¢
11¢
$9.09
771
Peace in the Middle East
9%
▼ 3
6¢
11¢
$9.09
3.5K
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
8%
▼ 2
7¢
9¢
$11.11
1.9K
Zacharia
7%
▼ 3
6¢
7¢
$14.29
1.3K
Golden Dome
7%
▼ 3
6¢
7¢
$14.29
2.3K
UFO / UAP
6%
▼ 10
5¢
7¢
$14.29
3.2K
Uranium
5%
▼ 1
4¢
5¢
$20.00
5.1K
Crypto / Bitcoin
4%
▼ 4
3¢
4¢
$25.00
12.5K
Make Iran Great Again
3%
▲ 1
2¢
3¢
$33.33
12.0K
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
2%
▼ 2
1¢
2¢
$50.00
2.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump’s Iran sanctions run into limitssemafor.com · 36 h agoThe Trump administration is steadily ratcheting up pressure on Iran with sanctions, but experts and former officials say the penalties thus far are having a limited effect on the Islamic Republic’s willingness to negotiate. Nate Swanson…
America must reverse Trump’s moral squalorthe Guardian · 36 h agoThe president shows a unique disregard for the opinions, norms and ideals of the nation – and, for that matter, humanity The Democrats’ focus on affordability seems to be a winning strategy (we’ll know for sure in a little over two weeks)…
Trump signs housing affordability executive orderPOLITICO · 46 h agoThe order aims to reduce mortgage costs as interest rates soar before the midterms. President Donald Trump signed an executive order Thursday aimed at reducing some costs associated with mortgages and boosting manufactured housing…
Could Ukraine win sans Trump?POLITICO · 2 days agoFrom the SitRoom to the E-Ring, the inside scoop on defense, national security and foreign policy. By GREGORY SVIRNOVSKIY and GISELLE RUHIYYIH EWING 10/22/2026 04:01 PM EDT President Donald Trump's tiff with Kyiv means President Volodymyr…
Trump Asked Google To Rename Atlantic Ocean ‘Trump Ocean’Newsweek · 2 days agoOct 22, 2026 at 04:59 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 06:17 AM EDT President Donald Trump has claimed he spoke to Google about renaming a body of water after himself, saying the technology company rejected the idea because oceans border multiple…
The Trump-Putin love story’s next chapter: selling out Ukrainethe Guardian · 35 h agoThe US president is portraying Zelenskyy as the villain as he strives for Russia’s approval If Donald Trump could, he would fly to Munich to sign away Ukraine to Vladimir Putin, and return to wave the document as “peace in our time”…
DOJ opens investigation into Trump ally Corey LewandowskiFox News · 46 h agoDOJ launches probe into President Trump's adviser Corey Lewandowski after DHS watchdog referral. The Justice Department (DOJ) has launched an investigation into longtime Trump adviser Corey Lewandowski, a source familiar with the matter…
Trump rally blitz continues in bid to boost Republicans in 2026 midtermsFox News · 34 h agoWith the 2026 midterm elections less than two weeks away, President Donald Trump, who rallied in Iowa on Thursday, is slated to campaign in Florida on Friday, Georgia on Saturday, and Michigan on Sunday as he continues working to provide…
Trump’s Approval Rating Flips With Rural Voters Before MidtermsNewsweek · 42 h agoOct 23, 2026 at 05:28 AM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 05:32 AM EDT President Donald Trump’s approval rating among rural voters in the likely electorate reached 50 percent in an Echelon Insights poll conducted October 15 to 19, putting him one point…
Trump Calls on Ilhan Omar to Resign After Birth Name ReportNewsweek · 39 h agoOct 22, 2026 at 09:36 PM EDT President Donald Trump called for U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar to immediately resign from Congress on Thursday after a federal court filing allegedly identified the Minnesota Democrat as “Ilhan Nur Said Elmi…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
