Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
66%Democrats Sweep
- Democrats Sweep66%▲ 3
- R Senate, D House25%▼ 2
- Republicans Sweep7%▼ 1
2 more
- D Senate, R House1%
- Other<1%
Install
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 19, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.08 | 8.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
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President Trump vows to spend millions to keep Republicans in control of CongressCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change President Trump vows to spend millions to keep Republicans in control of Congress Brad Lander says he was detained by IDF… -
Trump’s latest moves back Russia, buck Congress and U.S. alliesUkraine has been left reeling as President Donald Trump waives Russia sanctions and cuts a deal with Moscow to release diesel into the global market. WASHINGTON — Within the past two weeks, President Donald Trump took a slew of actions… -
Ex-Pompeo adviser tells Congress he resigned over Trump's attacks on YovanovitchMichael McKinley became the latest official to testify behind closed doors in the impeachment inquiry. A former top adviser to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told House impeachment investigators on Wednesday that he abruptly resigned last… -
Trump waives Russia sanctions. Where does that leave Congress?The U.S. is making moves to tip the scales for Russia in its ongoing war with Ukraine.Recently, President Trump has announced an oil deal with the Russian government, called for Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy to be replaced, and… -
Trump discusses success of Trump Accounts and potential expansion to adultsFox Business Trump discusses success of Trump Accounts and potential expansion to adults FOX Business White House reporter Edward Lawrence asks President Donald Trump about whether the successful Trump Accounts for children could possibly… -
2026 Midterm Elections: Trump, Democrats CampaignPresident Donald Trump is campaigning for Republican candidates in South Carolina as Democrats expand their efforts into traditionally red states and make affordability a central issue ahead of Election Day. President Donald Trump is… -
Trump looms in Illinois Senate debateShia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln 10/21/2026 08:00 AM EDT Good Wednesday morning, Illinois. Politics in this state has never been for the faint of heart. Republican Don Tracy and Democrat Juliana… -
Tracking Trump: Trump attacks Zelensky; Putin proposes meeting with U.S., China; Trump calls judge a ‘lunatic’; and moreBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Trump escalated his… -
When Trump says nothing at allYour guide to Donald Trump’s unprecedented overhaul of the federal government. By EVA HARTOG, BEN JOHANSEN and SOPHIA CAI 10/20/2026 04:54 PM EDT Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook: Remaking Government, your guide to Donald Trump’s… -
Trump heckled by protesters at North Carolina rallyCBS News Midterm campaign trail heats up Cornell president under fire Where to get the latest CBS Mornings Deals Harry wants to reconcile with royal family Doctor on the benefits of AI in medicine Sacha Baron Cohen talks about reviving Ali… -
Trump launches women's health division within NIH alongside Melania TrumpCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump launches… -
Trump criss-crosses U.S. for Republican candidatesCBS News Trump criss-crosses U.S. for GOP candidates Prince Harry working to reconcile with royal family Kramers celebrates 50 years in business Italy agrees to extradite Texas man back ICE questions person outside high school Ex-NFL…
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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
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5 more
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- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+1%
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Texas Senate winner? (2026)
68%James Talarico
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Which party will win the House in 2026?
92%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party92%
- Republican Party9%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.