Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 25 · $356K today · $3M traded · $542K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

46%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
  • Flávio Bolsonaro <4%46%▲ 8
  • Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%24%▼ 6
  • Lula da Silva <4%20%▲ 2
  • Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%7%▼ 2
  • Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%
  • Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
  • Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
  • Lula da Silva 12%+<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 46% ▲ 8 46¢ 48¢ $2.08 $43K
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 24% ▼ 6 24¢ 25¢ $4.00 $453K
Lula da Silva <4% 20% ▲ 2 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 $276K
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12% 7% ▼ 2 7¢ 7¢ $14.08 $843K
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ 2% 2¢ 2¢ $43.48 $423K
Lula da Silva 4-8% 1% 1¢ 1¢ $198K
Lula da Silva 8-12% <1% 0¢ 0¢ $186K
Lula da Silva 12%+ <1% 0¢ 0¢ $151K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Brazil Presidential Election Second, Margin of Victory

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Elections › Around the world

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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