Who will run for president in 2028?

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $80 today · $2.7K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 50 min ago

The odds

41%Thomas Massie
  • Thomas Massie41%
  • Kanye West34%▲ 10
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.28%▼ 1
  • Tucker Carlson21%
  • Andrew Yang20%▲ 2
  • Justin Amash18%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene14%▼ 1
  • Mark Cuban9%
  • Jon Stewart8%▲ 1
  • DeAndre Way6%
  • Joe Manchin6%
  • Larry Hogan6%▼ 1
7 more
  • Jesse Ventura5%▼ 1
  • Howard Schultz5%
  • Joe Rogan5%
  • Dwayne Johnson4%▼ 1
  • Matthew McConaughey4%▼ 1
  • Jamie Dimon4%
  • Aaron Rodgers4%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Thomas Massie: 41% on Oct 20, 41% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Thomas Massie 41% 36¢ 46¢ $2.17
Kanye West 34% ▲ 10 29¢ 38¢ $2.63 908
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 28% ▼ 1 24¢ 33¢ $3.03 4.6K
Tucker Carlson 21% 16¢ 26¢ $3.85
Andrew Yang 20% ▲ 2 19¢ 21¢ $4.76 2.7K
Justin Amash 18% 13¢ 22¢ $4.55
Marjorie Taylor Greene 14% ▼ 1 11¢ 18¢ $5.56 2.1K
Mark Cuban 9% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 1.1K
Jon Stewart 8% ▲ 1 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.9K
DeAndre Way 6% 3¢ 9¢ $11.11
Joe Manchin 6% 3¢ 9¢ $11.11 535
Larry Hogan 6% ▼ 1 1¢ 11¢ $9.09
Jesse Ventura 5% ▼ 1 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Howard Schultz 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29
Joe Rogan 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Dwayne Johnson 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Matthew McConaughey 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 107
Jamie Dimon 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
Aaron Rodgers 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Thomas Massie, Kanye West, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
  • Jon Ossoff15%
50 more
  • Kamala Harris7%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Bernie Sanders2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%▼ 2
  • Marco Rubio15%▲ 1
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%▼ 1
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Jon Ossoff10%▼ 1
51 more
  • Gavin Newsom9%
  • Marco Rubio9%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Ron DeSantis3%▲ 1
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.