Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
66%Democrats Sweep
- Democrats Sweep66%▼ 1
- R Senate, D House26%▲ 1
- Republicans Sweep8%
2 more
- D Senate, R House1%
- Other<1%
Install
Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?
The odds
24%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 27% on Oct 19, 24% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 24% | 21¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Congress
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Voters angry about high prices may get little relief from the next CongressBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. If voters expect a new… -
How Congress could address Social Security insolvency – and the hidden costKent Smetters, faculty director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model, on Social Security's looming funding crisis. Social Security is expected to reach insolvency within a decade, and with the key safety net program facing the prospect of… -
DOJ charges 2 former FBI officials with lying to Congress over Hunter Biden probeFederal prosecutors allege the two, who worked on the bureau’s Foreign Influence Task Force, lied about their knowledge of its probe into Hunter Biden and his laptop. Deputy Assistant Director for Counterterrorism at the FBI Nikki Floris… - Democrats want Mullin in the hotseat in the next CongressDemocrats want the Department of Homeland Security back into the headlines, potentially thwarting the administration’s goal of keeping unpopular immigration enforcement operations away from public attention. 10/23/2026 10:00 AM EDT A top…
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AOC wants next Congress to investigate top Trump officialsCNN AOC wants next Congress to investigate top Trump officials While campaigning in Maine with Democrat Troy Jackson, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said she wants the next Congress to open investigations into the heads of major federal… -
Abdul El-Sayed parlayed his race-obsessed medical research to fast-track, fund journey to Congress: criticsMichigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed turned his weird science into a stepping stone, exploiting identity politics in academia to fast-track and fund his journey to Congress, according to critics and a Post review of his… -
Reporter's Notebook: Congress braces for post-election game of musical chairs as leadership battles loomFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the Senate failing to advance the CLARITY Act in a procedural vote amid Democratic concerns over ethics provisions in the cryptocurrency legislation on ‘Special Report.’… -
Ilhan Omar must be ejected from Congress if immigration fraud is proven: Ex-deputy assistant AGFormer Deputy Assistant Attorney General John Yoo discusses the constitutional implications of allegations against Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., on 'The Will Cain Show.' ... Ilhan Omar must be ejected from Congress if immigration fraud is… -
These midterm races could shift the balance of power in CongressCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Key midterm races… -
McMahon plans to 'fire' herself out of a job, striving to show Congress that the Dept of Ed is not neededLinda McMahon asks Congress to let her prove the Department of Education can be dismantled without disrupting federal student loans or K-12 funding. U.S. Education Secretary Linda McMahon doubled down on closing the Department of Education… -
Ilhan Omar hit with expulsion threat as GOP lawmaker vows to boot her from Congress over DOJ probeU.S. Attorney for the District of Columbia Jeanine Pirro details the mounting questions surrounding Rep. Ilhan Omar of Minnesota following a federal raid. EXCLUSIVE: Rep. Randy Fine, R-Fla., told Fox News Digital that he plans to pursue an… -
Europeans aren’t betting on a Democratic Congress to save UkraineEven a congressional shift in power won’t significantly change Ukraine’s future. President Donald Trump, right, shakes the hand of Russia's President Vladimir Putin during a joint press conference at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.