How many states will Trump visit in Nov 2026?
7.04median
412
Median 7.04Middle half 5.70 – 8.89
Install
Major news story in Nov 2026?
The odds
3.06median
015
Median 3.06Middle half 1.75 – 7.65
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.76 on Nov 2, 3.06 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 2 | 68% | ▲ 14 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 600 |
| At least 3 | 51% | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 2.00 | |
| At least 5 | 34% | ▲ 19 | 29¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 6.00 |
| At least 10 | 17% | 12¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Trump's approval rating on Nov 6, 2026?
38.9median
37.139.2
Median 38.9Middle half 38.5 – 39.1
Trump Truth Social posts on Nov 2, 2026?
43.8median
149
Median 43.8Middle half 41.2 – 46.4
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Nov 2026?
95%Mark Carney
- Mark Carney95%▲ 8
- Sanae Takaichi90%▲ 2
- Vladimir Putin90%▲ 1
14 more
- Lee Jae-myung89%▲ 1
- Xi Jinping88%▼ 2
- Narendra Modi88%▼ 1
- Mohammed bin Salman78%▼ 2
- Claudia Sheinbaum70%
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy63%▼ 3
- Elon Musk63%▼ 4
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%▼ 7
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan53%▼ 3
- Zohran Mamdani46%▼ 1
- Chuck Schumer32%▼ 9
- Hakeem Jeffries30%▼ 1
- Kevin Warsh20%▼ 1
- Kim Jong Un14%▲ 1
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
34.43%median
28.4%40.9%
Median 34.43%Middle half 32.17% – 36.1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions