How many states will Trump visit in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 1 · $11.8K today · $12.1K traded · $12.1K at stake · prices read 26 min ago

The odds

7.04median
412
Median 7.04Middle half 5.70 – 8.89

How the odds have moved

Median: 6.94 on Nov 2, 7.04 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ At least 3 99% ▲ 2 $1.01 4.6K
✓ At least 4 99% ▲ 8 $1.01 6.9K
At least 5 91% ▲ 6 90¢ 92¢ $1.09 225
At least 6 68% ▲ 4 64¢ 72¢ $1.39 321
At least 8 34% ▼ 10 31¢ 36¢ $2.78 661
At least 10 14% ▼ 8 12¢ 17¢ $5.88 726

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Trump delivers final campaign pitch in IowaFox News · 19 h agoPresident Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across the country over 32 days. Trump delivers final campaign pitch in Iowa President Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across…
  • Trump’s Cuban Revolution Is Stuck in LimboNewsweek · 3 h agoNov 02, 2026 at 05:22 AM EST Time travel doesn’t exist as far as we know, but take a visit to Cuba and you’ll certainly feel like you’re stepping into history. The U.S. has maintained an economic embargo on the island just 90 miles off its…
  • Mike Johnson does impression of Trump | CNN PoliticsCNN · 18 h agoHouse Speaker Mike Johnson impersonated President Donald Trump while speaking at a rally in Dubuque, Iowa. Texas Senate candidate James Talarico accuses Republican rival Ken Paxton of serving "billionaire megadonors" like Elon Musk, who…
  • Harris criticizes Trump, rallies Georgia Democrats before electionCBS News · 7 h agoFormer Vice President Kamala Harris criticized the Trump administration and urged support for Keisha Lance Bottoms and Sen. Jon Ossoff during a Fulton County Democratic Committee fundraising dinner. CBS News Atlanta’s Emily McLeod reports…
  • Trump makes final push to keep Iowa redFox News · 7 h agoRep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President Donald Trump's rally in his state as he delivers his final message ahead of the upcoming midterm elections. Trump makes final push to keep Iowa red Rep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President…
  • Trump urges supporters to vote as if he is on the ballotFox News · 3 h agoPresident Donald Trump asks Kansas voters to treat the midterm elections as if he were on the ballot himself. Trump urges supporters to vote as if he is on the ballot President Donald Trump asks Kansas voters to treat the midterm elections…
  • Judge dismisses Trump lawsuit in Alaska Senate raceNBC News · 19 h agoA federal judge on Sunday rejected the Trump administration’s lawsuit that demanded officials not certify election results in the Senate race there, if the incumbent senator loses. NBC News’ Steve Patterson reports. Steve Kornacki breaks…
  • How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war planNPR · 9 h agoNPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer about the view from Arab Gulf states of Trump's Iran war plan. How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war plan NPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer…
  • Inside Trump and Vance’s final-week sprintPOLITICO · 17 h agoYour guide to Donald Trump’s unprecedented overhaul of the federal government. By SOPHIA CAI, BEN JOHANSEN and ELLEIANA GREEN 10/30/2026 05:20 PM EDT Welcome to POLITICO's West Wing Playbook: Remaking Government, your guide to Donald…
  • Iowans consider Trump's broken promises on Iran war before midtermsCBS News · 4 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Iowa considers…
  • Trump's promise: Economic boom. Pardons, Mr. Veto, & a 3rd termNew York Post · 5 h agoTrump is fired up in this election-eve exclusive with Miranda, fresh off his final rallies and wishing he had a third term. The polls are wrong, he says, and the “hottest country in the world” will boom. He’ll be Mr Veto and pardon…
  • Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warningFox News · 21 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports from Ukraine on the impact of the war on civilians and more. The 'Fox News Sunday' panel also weighs in. Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warning Fox News chief…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions