Trump's approval rating on Nov 6, 2026?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Fri 11:00 AM ET · $3.1K today · $4.8K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 24 min ago

The odds

38.9median
37.139.2
Median 38.9Middle half 38.5 – 39.1

How the odds have moved

Median: 38.6 on Oct 31, 38.9 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Below 37.3 3% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 4.0K
37.3 to 37.5 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 2.2K
37.6 to 37.8 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.6K
37.9 to 38.1 5% ▼ 4 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.9K
38.2 to 38.4 9% ▼ 7 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 2.8K
38.5 to 38.7 20% 21¢ 22¢ $4.55 2.8K
38.8 to 39.0 16% ▼ 2 17¢ 18¢ $5.56 3.7K
Above 39.0 43% ▲ 14 46¢ 47¢ $2.13 6.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

Search ›
  • Trump’s Cuban Revolution Is Stuck in LimboNewsweek · 5 h agoNov 02, 2026 at 05:22 AM EST Time travel doesn’t exist as far as we know, but take a visit to Cuba and you’ll certainly feel like you’re stepping into history. The U.S. has maintained an economic embargo on the island just 90 miles off its…
  • Trump's promise: Economic boom. Pardons, Mr. Veto, & a 3rd termNew York Post · 6 h agoTrump is fired up in this election-eve exclusive with Miranda, fresh off his final rallies and wishing he had a third term. The polls are wrong, he says, and the “hottest country in the world” will boom. He’ll be Mr Veto and pardon…
  • Harris criticizes Trump, rallies Georgia Democrats before electionCBS News · 8 h agoFormer Vice President Kamala Harris criticized the Trump administration and urged support for Keisha Lance Bottoms and Sen. Jon Ossoff during a Fulton County Democratic Committee fundraising dinner. CBS News Atlanta’s Emily McLeod reports…
  • Ukraine Says Russia Used Melania Trump Ceasefire To Strengthen PositionsNewsweek · 5 h agoNov 02, 2026 at 07:37 AM EST Ukraine's military has accused Russia of using a brief ceasefire in southern Ukraine, brokered by first lady Melania Trump, to deliver more ammunition and strengthen its positions around the devastated city of…
  • Trump makes final push to keep Iowa redFox News · 8 h agoRep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President Donald Trump's rally in his state as he delivers his final message ahead of the upcoming midterm elections. Trump makes final push to keep Iowa red Rep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President…
  • Trump says he had ‘very good talk’ with Netanyahu, discussed IranThe Washington Post · 5 h agoPresident Donald Trump said he spoke Saturday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about Iran as the president weighs up a return to all-out war after Tuesday’s midterm elections. “Just had a very good talk with him; we had a…
  • How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war planNPR · 10 h agoNPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer about the view from Arab Gulf states of Trump's Iran war plan. How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war plan NPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer…
  • The verdict is in: Hegseth is Trump’s worst Cabinet choiceThe Washington Post · 8 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. At the start of…
  • Mark Carney on Trump, Ukraine — and those Brooks Brothers shirtsPOLITICO · 8 h ago10/30/2026 10:02 PM EDT 11/02/26 05:00 AM EST 11/01/26 06:00 AM EST 10/30/26 10:02 PM EDT 10/30/26 07:41 PM EDT 10/30/26 05:00 AM EDT 10/29/26 11:59 PM EDT 10/26/26 05:00 AM EDT 10/22/26 11:59 PM EDT
  • Trump Makes Final Midterm Rally Push as Democrats Rise in PollsNewsweek · 10 h agoNov 01, 2026 at 11:57 PM EST President Donald Trump told a crowd in Kansas Sunday that he "could have been at home watching television," as a new poll showed Democrats leading in all seven battleground Senate races. Trump won Kansas and…
  • Trump makes case ahead of the midterms, touts his D.C. renovations and insults DemocratsCBS News · 5 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump makes case…
  • Democrats plan big Trump probes if they win Congress. Then the real fights begin.The Washington Post · 9 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Private businesses are…

Related markets

All trump administration ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions