Who will Donald Trump talk to in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Nov 30 · $1.7K today · $4.7K traded · $3.3K at stake · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

95%Mark Carney
  • Mark Carney95%▲ 8
  • Sanae Takaichi90%▲ 2
  • Vladimir Putin90%▲ 1
  • Lee Jae-myung89%▲ 1
  • Xi Jinping88%▼ 2
  • Narendra Modi88%▼ 1
  • Mohammed bin Salman78%▼ 2
  • Claudia Sheinbaum70%
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy63%▼ 3
  • Elon Musk63%▼ 4
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%▼ 7
  • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan53%▼ 3
5 more
  • Zohran Mamdani46%▼ 1
  • Chuck Schumer32%▼ 9
  • Hakeem Jeffries30%▼ 1
  • Kevin Warsh20%▼ 1
  • Kim Jong Un14%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Mark Carney: 86% on Nov 2, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Mark Carney 95% ▲ 8 94¢ 96¢ $1.04 1.6K
Sanae Takaichi 90% ▲ 2 86¢ 94¢ $1.06 481
Vladimir Putin 90% ▲ 1 86¢ 93¢ $1.08 421
Lee Jae-myung 89% ▲ 1 85¢ 93¢ $1.08 206
Xi Jinping 88% ▼ 2 84¢ 92¢ $1.09
Narendra Modi 88% ▼ 1 84¢ 91¢ $1.10 550
Mohammed bin Salman 78% ▼ 2 74¢ 82¢ $1.22 18.00
Claudia Sheinbaum 70% 65¢ 74¢ $1.35 586
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 63% ▼ 3 60¢ 66¢ $1.52 200
Elon Musk 63% ▼ 4 59¢ 67¢ $1.49 304
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 56% ▼ 7 53¢ 60¢ $1.67 728
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 53% ▼ 3 49¢ 57¢ $1.75 1.00
Zohran Mamdani 46% ▼ 1 42¢ 49¢ $2.04
Chuck Schumer 32% ▼ 9 28¢ 35¢ $2.86 665
Hakeem Jeffries 30% ▼ 1 25¢ 34¢ $2.94 550
Kevin Warsh 20% ▼ 1 16¢ 23¢ $4.35 14.00
Kim Jong Un 14% ▲ 1 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 909

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mark Carney, Sanae Takaichi

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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