How many Florida votes will be cast early in person? (As of Nov 4, 2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 4 · $66 today · $1.5K traded · $1.4K at stake · prices read 72 min ago

The odds

3.30Mmedian
1.90M4.30M
Median 3.30MMiddle half 2.62M – 3.73M

How the odds have moved

Median: 3.37M on Oct 19, 3.30M now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 2.2 million 90% ▲ 1 85¢ 94¢ $1.06 900
At least 2.5 million 80% ▲ 2 75¢ 84¢ $1.19 75.00
At least 2.8 million 69% ▲ 3 64¢ 73¢ $1.37 339
At least 3.1 million 62% ▲ 3 57¢ 67¢ $1.49 393
At least 3.4 million 44% ▲ 2 39¢ 49¢ $2.04 10.00
At least 3.7 million 27% ▲ 2 22¢ 32¢ $3.13 400
At least 4 million 9% ▲ 1 4¢ 14¢ $7.14

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Florida

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  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▼ 1
  • Jon Ossoff16%
50 more
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  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
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  • Mark Kelly2%
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  • J.B. Pritzker1%
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  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
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  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
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  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
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  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.