Critics Choice Awards: Best Score (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Jan 3, 2028 · $2.5K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

55%The Odyssey

The Odyssey55%
La Bola Negra14%
Behemoth!13%
Dune: Part Three12%
Project Hail Mary7%
Disclosure Day7%
Toy Story 56%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth4%
Digger4%
The Social Reckoning4%
Ray Gunn4%
Ink4%

4 more

Werwulf4%
Tie4%
Wild Horse Nine3%
The Debut2%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 55% on Oct 20, 55% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
The Odyssey	55%	13¢	74¢	$1.35	3.1K
La Bola Negra	14%	2¢	23¢	$4.35	4.1K
Behemoth!	13%	1¢	14¢	$7.14	151
Dune: Part Three	12%	1¢	21¢	$4.76	115
Project Hail Mary	7%	1¢	16¢	$6.25	115
Disclosure Day	7%	3¢	16¢	$6.25	2.0K
Toy Story 5	6%	1¢	11¢	$9.09	115
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	4%	1¢	13¢	$7.69	115
Digger	4%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	115
The Social Reckoning	4%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	115
Ray Gunn	4%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	115
Ink	4%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	115
Werwulf	4%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	115
Tie	4%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	115
Wild Horse Nine	3%	1¢	12¢	$8.33	115
The Debut	2%	1¢	3¢	$33.33	115

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Critics Choice Awards, Best Score, The Odyssey

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Fueled by ‘La Bola Negra,’ Spain’s Indie Distribution Make Robust Gains, to Be Highlighted at Valladolid’s Merci MarketVariety · 32 h agoThe sixth Merci market, part of the Valladolid Film Festival, is set to gather more than 200 film professionals and showcases 26 upcoming releases in Spain By Emiliano de Pablos The box office success of “La Bola Negra,” handled by…
Netflix bets on ‘La Bola Negra’ for best picture: On the LotNBC News · 31 h agoIn today’s edition, we’re looking at Netflix’s push for the coveted best picture Oscar in the aftermath of its executive shake-ups, the thirst for a Wicker basket and good news for the “Gleeks.” ... Welcome back to ON THE LOT.
‘La Bola Negra’ Was Personal for Breakout Star Guitarricadelafuente. He’s Still Unpacking WhyThe Hollywood Reporter · 3 days agoThe popular Spanish musician makes a beguiling acting debut in the buzzy Oscar contender, and he's already seeing its impact: "I saw a 16-year-old gay couple holding hands and hugging each other and crying." Indeed, screen debuts don’t…
Netflix's 'La Bola Negra' Revives Spain's Silenced Queer HistoriesSeoul Economic Daily · 2 days agoSeoul Economic Daily The film "La Bola Negra" traces how unrecorded love and concealed identity leave marks that reach beyond a single life and across generations Winner of the audience award at this year's Toronto International Film…
‘La Bola Negra’ Commish Domingo Corral Touts HBO Max TV Deal: “I’ve Found a Home”The Hollywood Reporter · 4 days agoExpect quality TV series from the Moviestar Plus+ commissioning editor-turned-indie producer that leverages top Spanish creative talent, Corral told THR while at the MIA Market in Rome. Former Moviestar Plus+ fiction and entertainment head…
‘La Bola Negra’ directors Los Javis on their big gay epic, diva obsessions, and their first awards — including a short film about ‘accidentally murdering’ a teacherGold Derby · 2 days agoLong before Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi won Best Director honors at Cannes and started earning Oscar buzz for La Bola Negra, they were taking home prizes that shaped them as kids — Ambrossi for writing, Calvo for directing. Ambrossi…
Domingo Corral Urges Commissioners To Ditch Conservative Thinking Or Risk Missing Next ‘La Bola Negra’: “You Cannot Reject The Other Way”Deadline · 5 days agoThose holding the purse strings in Spanish film and TV must not “reject” ambitious projects or they could miss the next La Bola Negra or Sîrat, according to the influential former content chief at Movistar Plus+. Domingo Corral whipped a…
Barossa wine awarded a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for sixth timeWinetitles · 3 days agoFirst Drop Wines’ Mother’s Milk Shiraz, a wine that retails for just AUD $28, has been honoured with a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for the sixth time. The 2023 vintage will be recognised in New York City this Thursday, 22 October…
Smudge the Blades and La Bola Negra Among Big Winners at Santa Fe International Film FestivalMovieMaker · 3 days agoThe Indigenous hockey drama Smudge the Blades and the queer epic La Bola Negra were among the big winners as the Santa Fe International Film Festival announced its 2026 awards. Ahead of the Awards ceremony, the festival awarded renowned…
Palm Springs Festival Theaters Celebrates LGBTQ+ Cinema with Special Screening of La Bola NegraHollywood Times · 3 days agoPalm Springs, CA (The Hollywood Times) 10/21/26 – Palm Springs continues to shine as a destination for LGBTQ+ arts, culture, and cinema as Festival Theaters prepares to host a special advance screening of La Bola Negra (The Black Ball) on…
European Film Producers Say Oscar Contender ‘La Bola Negra’ Shows Taking Big Risks Can Pay OffThe Hollywood Reporter · 5 days ago“We have to take risks,” Domingo Corral, a producer of Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo's gay epic and Netflix's award season contender, told the MIA Market in Rome. Italian and Spanish film and TV producers long used to exploring the…

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

44%The Odyssey

The Odyssey44%▼ 2
You Can See Everything31%▼ 2
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three6%▼ 1
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway88%
Penélope Cruz77%
Samantha Morton75%

15 more

Tao Okamoto63%▼ 3
Amanda Seyfried45%▼ 14
Kate O'Flynn41%▼ 1
Olivia Colman32%▲ 3
Mariana di Girolamo29%▼ 2
Sandra Hüller24%▼ 7
Parker Posey21%▼ 1
Merritt Wever18%▲ 5
Gemma Chan12%▲ 3
Danielle Deadwyler11%▼ 1
Zendaya8%▲ 1
Betty Gilpin6%
Isabella Rossellini5%
Margaret Qualley4%
Inde Navarrette1%

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Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

92%Matt Damon

Matt Damon92%▼ 2
John Malkovich88%
Andrew Scott85%

16 more

Tom Cruise52%▼ 10
John Turturro45%▲ 1
Ryan Gosling44%▼ 4
Anthony Ippolito42%▲ 11
Robert Pattinson41%▼ 4
Sebastian Stan19%
Jaafar Jackson17%▲ 1
Pedro Pascal16%▲ 2
Timothée Chalamet11%▼ 2
Sam Rockwell7%▲ 1
Adam Driver5%
Javier Bardem5%
Josh O'Connor5%
Brad Pitt4%
Robert Aramayo3%
Jeremy Strong2%▲ 1

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Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

90%Wild Horse Nine

Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 4
The Debut89%▲ 6
Club Kid60%▼ 2

15 more

Obsession54%▲ 5
Fjord51%▲ 1
Elsinore34%▲ 8
Behemoth!22%▼ 2
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma20%▲ 4
The Drama16%▼ 4
Josephine13%▲ 4
Digger13%▼ 2
Fatherland7%▲ 3
Forgotten Island5%▼ 21
The Odyssey4%
The Invite4%
A Place in Hell4%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth3%
The Black Ball2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey

The Odyssey97%
La Bola Negra95%
Wild Horse Nine91%▼ 1

19 more

Dune: Part Three88%▲ 1
Project Hail Mary77%
The Debut77%▼ 1
You Can See Everything76%▼ 5
The Invite61%▼ 1
I Play Rocky56%▲ 13
All of a Sudden38%▲ 1
Fjord34%▼ 3
Obsession32%▲ 2
Elsinore30%▼ 1
The Adventures of Cliff Booth24%
Digger19%
Behemoth!18%▲ 1
Michael11%
Avengers: Doomsday7%
Disclosure Day5%
Fatherland5%
The Drama3%
The Social Reckoning2%▼ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball

The Black Ball96%
The Odyssey85%▼ 4
Project Hail Mary68%▼ 1

8 more

Dune: Part Three63%▼ 1
Digger63%▼ 1
Werwulf46%▼ 2
Sense and Sensibility37%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
Backrooms18%
Wuthering Heights11%▲ 5
Wildwood4%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCritics Choice Awards

Trading closesJan 3, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.5K (10,667 contracts)

This week$2.5K

At stake$2.1K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If The Odyssey has won Best Score at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.