Critics Choice Awards: Best Original Screenplay (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Jan 3, 2028 · $19 today · $2.6K traded · $2.2K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

42%Wild Horse Nine

Wild Horse Nine42%
The Debut19%
Behemoth!6%
Artificial4%
Club Kid4%
Tender Loving Care2%
I Play Rocky2%
Fjord2%
Paper Tiger2%
Elsinore2%
Tony2%
Obsession2%

4 more

Digger1%
Misty Green1%
Josephine1%
Tie1%

How the odds have moved

Wild Horse Nine: 43% on Oct 20, 42% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Wild Horse Nine	42%	40¢	44¢	$2.27	3.8K
The Debut	19%	15¢	23¢	$4.35	1.5K
Behemoth!	6%	1¢	10¢	$10.00	629
Artificial	4%	3¢	5¢	$20.00	2.7K
Club Kid	4%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	4.7K
Tender Loving Care	2%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	588
I Play Rocky	2%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	3.0K
Fjord	2%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	588
Paper Tiger	2%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	3.6K
Elsinore	2%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	588
Tony	2%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	588
Obsession	2%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	665
Digger	1%		2¢	$50.00	6.1K
Misty Green	1%		2¢	$50.00	4.9K
Josephine	1%		2¢	$50.00	4.9K
Tie	1%		2¢	$50.00	4.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Critics Choice Awards, Best Original Screenplay, Wild Horse Nine

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Movie review: ‘Wild Horse Nine’ finds Martin McDonagh repeating himselfhometownsource.com · 3 days agoSam Rockwell and John Malkovich star as two veteran CIA operatives who travel to Easter Island in "Wild Horse Nine." The film, directed by Martin McDonagh, follows the men as a sightseeing trip takes a potentially sinister turn. To quote…
Film Review: Wild Horse NineGlam Adelaide · 4 days agoCIA agents Chris and Lee face a trust-testing mission from Santiago to Easter Island during 1973 in Chile. Writer/director Martin McDonagh (In Bruges, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Banshees of Inisherin) returns with the…
Barossa wine awarded a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for sixth timeWinetitles · 3 days agoFirst Drop Wines’ Mother’s Milk Shiraz, a wine that retails for just AUD $28, has been honoured with a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for the sixth time. The 2023 vintage will be recognised in New York City this Thursday, 22 October…
DC Readers: Attend A Free Screening Of ‘Wild Horse Nine’Punch Drunk Critics · 5 days agoTravis Hopson has been reviewing movies before he even knew there was such a thing. Having grown up on a combination of bad '80s movies, pro wrestling, comic books, and hip-hop, Travis is uniquely positioned to geek out on just about…
Jesse Eisenberg’s ‘The Debut’ Wins Middleburg Film Festival Audience AwardVariety · 4 days agoJesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut” snagged the top prize at the Middleburg Film Festival, which ran Oct. 15-18. Starring Julianne Moore, Eisenberg’s third directorial outing won the audience award at the Virginia festival, which held its 14th…
Creators Are Getting Their Own Critics Choice Awards. Here’s How to EnterWhat's Trending · 6 days agoThe Critics Choice Association, the critics group behind one of the biggest stops on Hollywood’s awards circuit, opened submissions Monday for its inaugural Critics Choice Creator Awards. Creators can enter work first released between Jan…
Jesse Eisenberg Reveals TV Show Details as ‘The Debut’ Closes a Star-Studded London Film FestivalThe Hollywood Reporter · 7 days agoThe Hollywood Reporter The musical-comedy has been on the festival circuit over the last few months. It stars Moore as Mona, a neglected housewife cast in a community theater production directed by Paul Giamatti’s Jerry. And the London…
“Destined: The 2001 Arizona Diamondbacks” to Debut Thursday, October 29 at 5 p.m. AZ timeYahoo Sports · 4 days agoWith the 25th anniversary of the Arizona Diamondbacks’ 2001 World Series title approaching, MLB Network Presents will debut Destined: The 2001 Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday, October 29th at 5 p.m. Arizona time. Marking the 50th film in…
Martin Garrix Recruits Madonna, U2 & Ed Sheeran for Debut Pop Album ‘MARTY’: Here’s When It ArrivesBillboard · 4 days agoMARTY will also feature Garrix's own vocals. Over a decade since he first exploded onto the scene with “Animals,” award-winning Dutch DJ Martin Garrix is finally unleashing his debut pop album. MARTY, a 14-track project that finds him…
‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: Malkovich and Rockwell Shine in McDonagh’s Darkly Comic Tale - IMDbIMDb · 8 days ago‘Wild Horse Nine’ Review: Malkovich and Rockwell Shine in McDonagh’s Darkly Comic Tale IMDb
‘The Debut,’ ‘Ink’ Among Evolution Mallorca Highlights as Festival Celebrates 15th Edition: ‘We Want the Island to Be a Thriving Film Destination’Variety · 5 days agoEvolution Mallorca founder Sandra Lipski on celebrating 15th edition, showcasing local talent and promoting island as 'thriving film destination.' ‘The Debut,’ ‘Ink’ Among Evolution Mallorca Highlights as Festival Celebrates 15th Edition…
Back to the beginning: Both LCS MVPs face teams they debuted with in Fall ClassicMLB.com · 5 days agoMLB.com Back to the beginning: Both LCS MVPs face teams they debuted with in Fall Classic This browser does not support the video element. The Brewers and Rays will face off in the 2026 World Series, which begins on Friday in Milwaukee…

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Fjord48%
Elsinore34%▲ 9
Behemoth!21%▼ 3
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma20%▲ 4
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Digger13%▼ 1
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Forgotten Island5%▲ 2
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCritics Choice Awards

Trading closesJan 3, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.6K (43,738 contracts)

Today$19

At stake$2.2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Wild Horse Nine has won Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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