Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Jan 3, 2028 · $2.9K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

43%John Malkovich

John Malkovich43%▲ 1
Matt Damon16%
Andrew Scott10%
Sebastian Stan4%
Robert Pattinson4%
Pedro Pascal4%
John Turturro3%
Anthony Ippolito3%
Dominic Sessa3%
Tom Cruise3%
Brad Pitt2%
Ryan Gosling1%

4 more

Jordan Firstman1%
Jack O’Connell1%
Miles Teller1%
Tie<1%

How the odds have moved

John Malkovich: 44% on Oct 20, 43% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
John Malkovich	43%	▲ 1	43¢	51¢	$1.96	4.8K
Matt Damon	16%		14¢	23¢	$4.35	37.00
Andrew Scott	10%		6¢	16¢	$6.25	272
Sebastian Stan	4%		2¢	7¢	$14.29	37.00
Robert Pattinson	4%		2¢	7¢	$14.29	37.00
Pedro Pascal	4%		2¢	7¢	$14.29	37.00
John Turturro	3%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	37.00
Anthony Ippolito	3%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	37.00
Dominic Sessa	3%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	37.00
Tom Cruise	3%		1¢	5¢	$20.00	37.00
Brad Pitt	2%		1¢	4¢	$25.00	2.0K
Ryan Gosling	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	26.1K
Jordan Firstman	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	42.00
Jack O’Connell	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	37.00
Miles Teller	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	37.00
Tie	<1%			1¢	$100.00	8.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Critics Choice Awards, Best Actor, John Malkovich

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Barossa wine awarded a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for sixth timeWinetitles · 3 days agoFirst Drop Wines’ Mother’s Milk Shiraz, a wine that retails for just AUD $28, has been honoured with a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for the sixth time. The 2023 vintage will be recognised in New York City this Thursday, 22 October…
Ethan Hawke Highlighted Something Really Important About Matt Damon And Ben Affleck’s 45-Year Friendship, And People Are Loving The Way He Approached ThisBuzzFeed · 40 h agoI get to spend my days writing all about the pop culture stories that your group chats are talking about. Since meeting when they were aged 8 and 10, respectively, Ben Affleck and Matt Damon have forged one of the most enduring friendships…
Ben Affleck and Matt Damon to Reunite for Film About Nike Exec Who Landed Michael Jordan Deal (UPDATE)Complex · 38 h agoUPDATED 1/23/23, 10 p.m. ET: Air, the directorial feature from Ben Affleck which also stars his longtime friend Matt Damon, will be released in theaters on April 5, as reported by Variety. As part of Affleck and Damon’s collaboration with…
John Malkovich in Wild Horse NineThe Age · 2 days agoWill he take home the Oscar this time? Will he take home the Oscar this time? October 23, 2026 — 11:32am
Actor bags Best Actor nod!dailysun · 2 days agoMPILO Mbatha has been in the acting industry for almost five years, and he’s made his mark. His TV roles have caught viewers’ attention, and he believes this is why he landed his first nomination at the National Film and Television Awards…
Artists Equity’s Amy Baer on Building a Sustainable Indie Model with Movies That Don’t Star Matt Damon or Ben AffleckIndieWire · 2 days agoIt can still be a struggle for people to grasp exactly what Ben Affleck and Matt Damon‘s Artists Equity banner is all about or how it works. In some cases it’s even hard for its own leaders to articulate what gives the company its secret…
Star Trek TNG Best Actor Still Confused By The Best EpisodeYahoo Entertainment · 19 h agoWhat's not to understand about "Yesterday's Enterprise?" To better understand Frakes' comment, we need to touch on the plot of this standout third-season episode. The episode begins normally enough, but our familiar Enterprise-D crew soon…
Jaafar Jackson to Receive Critics Choice Award for ‘Michael’MJVibe · 4 days agoJaafar Jackson continues to receive recognition for his portrayal of his uncle, Michael Jackson, in the biographical film Michael. The actor has been announced as one of the honorees at the 9th annual Critics Choice Association’s…
Matt Damon Appeared In A Star-Studded 2010s Sci-Fi Movie That Asked Big QuestionsIMDb · 3 days agoIMDb
"The Beekeeper": Ben Affleck and Matt Damon in a celestial tanglevijesti.me · 3 days agoWhat happens when an attempt to return to paradise becomes a threat to the entire world? The answer is provided by "The Dogster," a 1999 fantasy comedy written and directed by Kevin Smith. Bartleby and Loki, two angels exiled to Earth…
Ryan Gosling resurfaces for ‘Project Hail Mary,’ bumps Tom Cruise from Best Actor fieldGold Derby · 4 days agoGosling had been out of the limelight for the past two months but now appears ready to hit the campaign trail. Ryan Gosling resurfaces for âProject Hail Mary,â bumps Tom Cruise from Best Actor field Was Ryan Gosling really punting on…
HBO Max Officially Says Goodbye to Matt Damon's Best Picture-Winning Crime MasterpieceIMDb · 4 days agoIMDb

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCritics Choice Awards

Trading closesJan 3, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.9K (42,284 contracts)

This week$165

At stake$2.1K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If John Malkovich has won Best Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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