Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 1
Install
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term? (Before 2029)
The odds
9%chance▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 9% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.20 | 339.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
Search ›-
Tracking Trump: Trump attacks Zelensky; Putin proposes meeting with U.S., China; Trump calls judge a ‘lunatic’; and moreBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Trump escalated his… -
Trump launches women's health division within NIH alongside Melania TrumpCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump launches… -
Trump gushes over 'very skilled' Melania Trump at executive order signingPresident Donald Trump praises first lady Melania Trump's work on an executive order to establish a women's health division at the National Institutes of Health and a White House Women's Health Task Force. Trump gushes over 'very skilled'… -
SEE IT: President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump sign executive order on women's healthPresident Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump sign an executive order focused on advancing women's health, then hand out commemorative pens to Cabinet members involved in the initiative. SEE IT: President Donald Trump and First Lady… -
Trump’s growing Ukraine backlashThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. You will now start receiving email updates 10/19/2026 02:08 PM EDT President Donald Trump’s recent pivot toward working more with Russian President Vladimir… -
President Trump defends Russia sanctions waiverU.S. Army Maj. Gen. James 'Spider' Marks discusses President Donald Trump's role in the Russia-Ukraine conflict on 'America Reports.' ... President Trump defends Russia sanctions waiver U.S. Army Maj. Gen. James 'Spider' Marks discusses… -
Trump faces backlash over Russian oilCBS News Boston 9am CBS News Chicago 8am CBS News Colorado This Morning 7am CBS News Detroit 9am CBS News Los Angeles Mornings 6am CBS News Miami 9am -
Sticker tycoon. Trump cheerleader. Rapper. Congressman?Anthony Constantino wants to fill Elise Stefanik’s seat in New York. But his lead in the formerly Trump-loving district is narrowing The boss of a New York-based sticker company, whose staunch support for Donald Trump prompted him to… -
Trump waives new Russia sanctionsUS President Donald Trump waived new sanctions on Russia days before they were set to take effect, reversing a bipartisan congressional push and raising fresh questions about Washington’s commitment to Ukraine. Trump waives new Russia… -
Starshield Gives Trump Massive Power Over UkraineOct 19, 2026 at 11:58 AM EDT As confusion reigned over who was responsible for abruptly imposing limits on Ukraine's use of the Starshield satellite system, one thing did become obvious: Kyiv remains painfully at the mercy of U.S. whims… -
2026 Midterm Elections: Trump Campaigns in KansasPresident Donald Trump is taking his midterm campaign to Kansas as Democrats look to regain ground with Latino and rural voters in competitive House and Senate races. President Donald Trump is scheduled to rally for Republican Sen. Roger… -
Trump endorses Netanyahu for reelectionIsrael's longest-serving prime minister said he was "honored and humbled." “Bibi Netanyahu has been Strong, Brave, and Brilliant in the face of tremendous opposition, including that coming from even Israel, itself,” President Donald Trump…
Related markets
All elections ›Next French Presidential Election
46%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
- David Lisnard12%
42 more
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
- Raphaël Glucksmann5%
- François Hollande2%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Bruno Retailleau1%
- Christine Lagarde1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
16%Gavin Newsom
- Gavin Newsom16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%▲ 1
- Jon Ossoff15%
50 more
- Kamala Harris7%▼ 1
- Josh Shapiro6%
- Pete Buttigieg5%
- Andy Beshear3%
- James Talarico3%
- Mark Kelly2%
- Wes Moore2%
- Raphael Warnock2%
- Rahm Emanuel2%
- Bernie Sanders2%
- Ro Khanna1%
- J.B. Pritzker1%
- Chelsea Clinton1%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Cory Booker1%
- Gretchen Whitmer1%
- Jon Stewart1%
- Michelle Obama<1%
- Chris Murphy<1%
- Ruben Gallego<1%
- Chris Van Hollen<1%
- Mark Cuban<1%
- Roy Cooper<1%
- Barack Obama<1%
- Stephen A. Smith<1%
- Gina Raimondo<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Jared Polis<1%
- Hillary Clinton<1%
- Phil Murphy<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- Hunter Biden<1%
- Jasmine Crockett<1%
- Abigail Spanberger<1%
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Elissa Slotkin<1%
- Josh Stein<1%
- Mitch Landrieu<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- John Fetterman<1%
- Liz Cheney<1%
- George Clooney<1%
- MrBeast<1%
- Oprah Winfrey<1%
- Andrew Yang<1%
- Beto O’Rourke<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Graham Platner<1%
- Adam Schiff<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
62%Democrats Sweep
- Democrats Sweep62%
- R Senate, D House28%▲ 1
- Republicans Sweep8%
2 more
- D Senate, R House1%
- Other<1%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▲ 2
- D-House, R-Senate27%▼ 1
- Republicans sweep10%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Texas Senate winner? (2026)
62%James Talarico
- James Talarico62%
- Ken Paxton39%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.