2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Feb 1, 2027 · $105K today · $8.7M traded · $6.1M at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

64%Democrats sweep
  • Democrats sweep64%▼ 2
  • D-House, R-Senate25%▲ 1
  • Republicans sweep10%▲ 1
  • R-House, D-Senate1%

How the odds have moved

Democrats sweep: 63% on Oct 20, 64% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democrats sweep 64% ▼ 2 64¢ 65¢ $1.54 7.4M
D-House, R-Senate 25% ▲ 1 25¢ 26¢ $3.85 5.9M
Republicans sweep 10% ▲ 1 10¢ 10¢ $10.20 23.8M
R-House, D-Senate 1% 0¢ 1¢ 17.6M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Congress Balance of Power, Midterms

Search ›
  • US midterms: The rise of AI election ads in US midterms campaignbbc.com · 34 h agoResearchers say AI ads are being used more than ever in the US midterms campaign ahead of the elections in November. Some of the ads are being funded by outside political groups but they have also come directly from candidates in some key…
  • Economic struggles motivate midterm votersCBS News · 25 h agoCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 7am CBS News Chicago Saturday at 9am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 7am CBS News Miami This Morning 10am CBS News New York Saturday 10am KDKA News This Morning Saturday…
  • 2026 Midterm Elections: Trump, Obama Rally MichiganFox News · 3 h agoPresident Donald Trump is set to campaign in Michigan as Democrats deploy Barack Obama and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez while a Justice Department lawsuit threatens to complicate the closely watched Alaska Senate race. President Donald Trump…
  • Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout?Fox News · 20 h agoPaul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.' Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout? Paul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.'
  • Key politics at play in the 2026 midtermsCBS News · 24 h agoCBS News Los Angeles Weekend 8am CBS News Miami This Morning 10am CBS News New York Saturday 11am Hometown High Q Classics CBS News Texas 9am
  • Obama attacks Trump during campaign ahead of US midtermsbbc.com · 5 h agoFormer US President Barack Obama spoke to crowds in Ohio while campaigning for the Democrats on Saturday. Read more about Obama campaigning for the Democrats ahead of the midterm elections.
  • Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsCNN · 22 h agoAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”…
  • Economic woes transform the Midwest into a massive midterms battlegroundCNN · 11 h agoDemocrats could be poised for a revival in the heartland, as furor over high costs and doubt about President Donald Trump’s willingness to change the nation’s trajectory threaten to loosen the GOP’s grip on working-class voters. A decade…
  • Catholic Charities helps Minnesota's unhoused vote ahead of midtermsCBS News · 15 h agoOctober 24, 2026 / 6:49 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota More than 400,000 Minnesotans have already voted in this midterm election, according to the Secretary of State's office, a big increase from 2022, when around 280,000 were reported during that…
  • White House takes new actions ahead of midterm electionsNBC News · 16 h agoNBC News Catastrophic flooding prompts rescues Good News: Unlikely friendship leads to trip of a lifetime White House takes new actions ahead of midterm elections All-out fight for critical battleground states ramps up Inside the battle…
  • Trump casts his midterm election ballot early in FloridaCNBC · 18 h agoPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived together at their West Palm Beach…
  • Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in ClevelandFox News · 19 h agoFormer President Barack Obama returned to the campaign circuit Saturday during a midterm rally in Ohio for U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton. Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in Cleveland…

Related markets

All senate ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions