María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
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Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? (Before Jan 1, 2030)
The odds
42%Adam Telle
- Adam Telle42%
- Sean Parnell23%
- Michael Obadal6%▲ 1
- Brian Mast5%
- W. Jordan Gillis5%▲ 1
- Marc Andersen4%
- Brent Ingraham4%▼ 1
- Charles Young III4%▼ 1
- Derrick Anderson4%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Adam Telle: 43% on Oct 20, 42% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Telle | 42% | 41¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 3.8K | |
| Sean Parnell | 23% | 22¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 5.0K | |
| Michael Obadal | 6% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 203 |
| Brian Mast | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 582 | |
| W. Jordan Gillis | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 40.00 |
| Marc Andersen | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 60.00 | |
| Brent Ingraham | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 45.00 |
| Charles Young III | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 10.00 |
| Derrick Anderson | 4% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Secretary, Army, Adam Telle
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Acting Army Secretary highlights Anniston Army Depot, 'Pit Crew of the American Warfighter"By PACHARI MIDDLETON ANNISTON ARMY DEPOT Anniston Army Depot’s role in keeping Army combat vehicles and small arms ready for the fight took center stage during an Oct. 23 visit by Acting Secretary of the Army Adam R. Telle, who called the… -
Secretary Hegseth and DOW Leaders Speak at AUSA 2026Project Agincourt maps the Pentagon's autonomous warfare push, from drones and FASCOM to rapid acquisition, firms and command. Secretary Hegseth and DOW Leaders Speak at AUSA 2026 At the Association of the United States Army annual meeting… -
Democrats see an opening in secretary of state races in red terrainAs the midterm battleground increasingly shifts to red territory, Democrats hope a favorable national environment will translate to winning lower-profile offices that have long eluded the party. As the midterm battleground increasingly… -
NYC business leader blasts Mamdani over alleged ‘army of influencers'Steve Fulop joins Stuart Varney to criticize Zohran Mamdani over his legislative record and mayoral campaign platform. Fulop argues that Mamdani's policies are anti-business and threaten New York City's economic recovery. The discussion… -
Israel Orders Army To Prepare Full Closure of West Bank Days Before ElectionOct 23, 2026 at 09:00 AM EDT Israel has ordered its security forces to prepare for a full closure of the occupied West Bank following a shooting in the city of Hebron, in which two Israeli soldiers were killed. Prime Minister Benjamin… -
Army football at Tulsa score, live updates from Week 8Army football coach Jeff Monken doesn't believe there's any carryover from previous meetings, so he doesn't expect there will be any hangover from the Black Knights' last meeting with Tulsa, which hosts West Point on Friday night. Freshman… -
Abandoned Popcorn Time apps had to be disabled to prevent a zombie armyRemember Popcorn Time, the app that served as an easy-to-use front end for streaming torrents of movies and TV shows? Development of the MPAA's least-favorite app of the 2010s has been abandoned for years, but the "Netflix of Piracy"… -
How to watch Army vs Tulsa: Live stream College Football, TV channelThe Army Black Knights (4-2) face the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-3) at H.A. Chapman Stadium on Friday night in college football action. Oct 10, 2026; Annapolis, Maryland, USA; Tulsa Golden Hurricane quarterback Baylor Hayes (10) looks to… -
UConn women's basketball vs. Army: Time, TV, tickets, lineup and what you need to knowUConn women's basketball hosts Army Sunday afternoon on campus for its final preseason tune-up. The Huskies last faced the Black Knights during the 2007 regular season, winning 82-33 on New Year's Eve in Hartford. Army's only win over… -
Israel orders West Bank closure after army kills 2 Palestinians it says were behind an attackBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Israeli soldiers have… -
Army vs. Tulsa prediction, odds & best bet: Our pick for Friday’s AAC clashAll of a sudden, the race to the American Athletic Conference Championship is wide open. Tulane’s upset of Memphis in Week 7 completely shook up the standings and opened the door for plenty of other contenders to gatecrash the party. Army… -
Leavitt Delivers Blunt Verdict on Zacharia’s Brief Press Secretary StintOct 22, 2026 at 04:09 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 04:26 PM EDT Former White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has offered a frank assessment of Katie Zacharia’s brief tenure as her successor, saying the high-profile role “obviously was not…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions