Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%▼ 1
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Who will be the next new Speaker of the House? (Before 2031)
The odds
85%Hakeem Jeffries
- Hakeem Jeffries85%
- Jim Jordan11%▲ 3
- Steve Scalise2%
How the odds have moved
Hakeem Jeffries: 85% on Oct 20, 85% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Jeffries | 85% | 83¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 28.7K | |
| Jim Jordan | 11% | ▲ 3 | 7¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 5.6K |
| Steve Scalise | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $27.03 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Speaker, House, Hakeem Jeffries
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Democratic socialists reportedly plan to pressure Hakeem Jeffries as far-left influence growsFormer Sen. Joe Manchin, I-W.Va., joins 'Fox & Friends' to discuss reports of the Democratic Socialists of America pressuring House Minority Speaker Hakeem Jeffries and shares his thoughts on the upcoming midterm elections. Democratic… -
Hakeem Jeffries takes House majority fight to Trump’s backyard in FloridaNBC News PINECREST, Fla. — In the battle for the House majority, Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries is taking the fight to Donald Trump’s backyard. -
Hakeem Jeffries joins Eliott Rodriguez in South Florida as Democrats target Salazar's 27th DistrictCBS News Hakeem Jeffries joins Eliott Rodriguez in South Florida as Democrats target Salazar's 27th District Columbus continues their winning streak against Miami Central NEXT Weather Alert issued for Saturday due to flooding, heavy rain… -
Hakeem Jeffries campaigns for Eliott Rodriguez as immigration, housing shape District 27 raceUpdated on: October 16, 2026 / 11:17 PM EDT / CBS Miami U.S. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries joined Democratic congressional candidate Eliott Rodriguez at a Pinecrest bakery Friday to rally support as Rodriguez tries to unseat… -
Exclusive: House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries discusses midterms, affordability & the future of the Democratic PartyOct 19, 2026, 3:55 PM House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries says voter frustration over the cost of living and key congressional races in New York will help Democrats regain the House in November. In an extended and wide-ranging… -
Hakeem Jeffries to campaign in Texas on behalf of Bexar County congressional candidate Johnny GarciaWASHINGTON — House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is heading to Texas to campaign with Johnny Garcia, who is running in a redistricted San Antonio-area congressoinal seat that Democrats believe they can win, according to a person familiar… - JAW-DROPPING BETRAYAL! (Hakeem Jeffries)Hakeem Jeffries was asked POINT-BLANK if a Democrat-controlled House would BRING BACK the illegal aliens Trump already deported to third countries (like Africa): Reporter: “Will the Congress under your leadership bring back the [illegal…
- Inside the Democratic Socialists’ Plan to Pressure Hakeem JeffriesDSA leaders are working behind the scenes with their endorsed candidates to pressure Jeffries on progressive priorities WASHINGTON—Hakeem Jeffries is closing in on the Speaker’s gavel, but his path to power runs directly through an…
- House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries discusses midterms, affordability and the future of the Democratic PartyNews12 | Long Island House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries discusses midterms, affordability and the future of the Democratic Party The extended interview explored the midterm stakes, affordability, the war in Iran, immigration…
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If the GOP Makes These Remarks From Hakeem Jeffries an Ad, Dems Will Never Win AgainPresident Donald Trump won the presidential election in 2024. One of the big reasons he won was because of his promise to help clean up the mess that Joe Biden had made of illegal immigration. Trump immediately secured the border showing… -
Hakeem Jeffries backs Eliott Rodriguez in Florida's 27th congressional district race as Republicans push backThe fight for the Congressional District 27 seat is heating up, with House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries traveling to South Florida to support candidate Eliott Rodriguez. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries visited South Florida to…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.