Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
94%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party94%▲ 1
- Republican Party6%▼ 1
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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the 2028 election?
The odds
207.5median
180260
Median 207.5Middle half 195 – 220
How the odds have moved
Median: 207.5 on Oct 31, 207.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 185 | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 190 | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 195 | 75% | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 200 | 65% | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 205 | 55% | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 210 | 45% | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| At least 215 | 35% | 30¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | ||
| At least 218 | 30% | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | ||
| At least 220 | 25% | 20¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| At least 225 | 20% | 15¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | ||
| At least 230 | 15% | 10¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 235 | 10% | 5¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 240 | 9% | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | ||
| At least 245 | 8% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | ||
| At least 250 | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 255 | 6% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House
Search ›- Top House Republican targets Biden — and now Harris — in Afghanistan probeDemocrats are lambasting Michael McCaul’s latest Afghanistan report as a pre-election maneuver to undermine Harris. Taliban fighters celebrate the third anniversary of the withdrawal of US-led troops from Afghanistan, in Kabul, Afghanistan…
- In report, House Republicans claim Biden committed impeachable offenses, but next steps unclearUpdated on: August 19, 2024 / 8:12 AM EDT / AP Washington — House Republicans have released their initial impeachment inquiry report into President Biden, alleging an abuse of power and obstruction of justice in the financial dealings of…
- Republicans pour millions into once-safe House seat in bid to save Max MillerIn the closing days of the race, Rep. Max Miller is making the case to voters that divorce is messy and the controversies that surrounded him this summer are behind him. But the high-profile custody case that roiled his reelection bid this…
- Trump administration has key decision to make on US-Iran war, House Republican saysRep. Pat Harrigan, R-N.C., speaks to Fox News Digital about the implications of the midterms for Republicans and the ongoing U.S. war against Iran. Trump administration has key decision to make on US-Iran war, House Republican says Rep…
- 2026 U.S. House Election ResultsThe handful of House members who flipped the toughest seats in 2024 all face challenging races again this year. These are districts that changed party control in the last election excluding those that redistricted prior to the 2024 and…
- Bute House protested by environmental campaignersClimate groups gathered outside Bute House in Edinburgh Climate groups gathered outside Bute House in Edinburgh to protest against the Scottish government's decision to give the go-ahead for a new, gas-fired, power station at Peterhead in…
- American Psychological Association rejects House report on antisemitismThe president and CEO of the American Psychological Association rejected the findings of a House report on Jew-hatred in the association, telling colleagues on Thursday that the APA has “held listening sessions” with Jewish psychologists…
- How House Democrats' 'deterrence message' on Trump jobs could backfireFormer DOJ official Abhi Kambli says Democrats’ calls to hold Trump staffers accountable could make future investigations look punitive rather than for legislative functions, potentially chilling congressional oversight. Sen. Elissa…
- House Democrats defend Rep. Ilhan Omar amid federal investigationFox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on House Democrats calling the raid on Rep. Ilhan Omar's home politically motivated. House Democrats defend Rep. Ilhan Omar amid federal investigation Fox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on House Democrats…
- New Jersey U.S. House special primary resultsLive results for the February 5, 2026 U.S. House special primary election in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. New Jersey U.S. House…
- Donald Trump Weighs In on Nicki Minaj as Potential White House Press SecretaryThe president was asked whether the rapper could take on the role in his administration. Donald Trump is addressing the possibility of Nicki Minaj becoming the next White House press secretary. During a recent appearance on the political…
- GPS reroute leads to house fire rescue in GeorgiaCBS News Atlanta is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WUPA and channel 69, CBS News Atlanta offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. GPS reroute leads to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions