Predictions › News Topics World Wars, ceasefires and diplomacy, region by region.
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Nicolás Maduro 77% ▲ 4 Delcy Rodríguez 18% ▲ 1 No Head of State 2% 13 more María Corina Machado 1% Jorge Rodríguez <1% Edmundo González <1% Marco Rubio <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Frank Donovan <1% Diosdado Cabello Rondón <1% Dinorah Figuera <1% Donald Trump <1% Vladimir Padrino López <1% Evan Pettus <1% Dan Caine <1% Richard Grenell <1% Mojtaba Khamenei 87% ▲ 1 No Head of State 4% Reza Pahlavi 3% ▲ 1 27 more Alireza Arafi 2% Hassan Rouhani 1% Masoud Pezeshkian <1% Abbas Araghchi <1% Ahmad Vahidi <1% Sadegh Larijani <1% Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf <1% Mahmoud Ahmadinejad <1% Muhammad Mirbaqiri <1% Hassan Khomeini <1% Maryam Rajavi <1% Mohammad Khatami <1% Hassan Shariatmadari <1% Massoud Rajavi <1% Seyed Hossein Mousavian <1% Reza Pirzadeh <1% Navid Shomali <1% Mustafa Hijri <1% Ali Motahari <1% Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel <1% Mostafa Pourmohammadi <1% Sadegh Mahsouli <1% Saeed Jalili <1% Mohsen Araki <1% Nasir Hosseini <1% Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani <1% Ali Asghar Hejazi <1% December 31, 2026 2% June 30, 2027 10% ▼ 1 June 30, 2027 11% October 31 11% ▼ 1 November 30 11% 1 more October 31 1% November 30 9% ▲ 1 December 31 14% ▲ 1 October 31 2% ▼ 3 December 31 7% ▼ 2 A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .