US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
66%October 22
- October 2266%
- October 2466%
- October 2866%▲ 3
6 more
- October 3166%▲ 2
- November 866%▲ 2
- November 1566%▲ 5
- November 2266%▲ 2
- November 3066%
- December 3166%▼ 1
Install
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
The odds
29%October 31
- October 3129%▲ 7
How the odds have moved
October 31: 22% on Oct 20, 29% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 10 PM ETOctober 31: 22% → 29%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $9K | ||
| October 31 | 29% | ▲ 7 | 19¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | $19.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran, Jordan
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Packers' Jordan Love: Throws two more TDsThe FFT crew breaks down every game on the Week 7 NFL schedule, answering the biggest fantasy football start/sit questions to help you set your winning lineup! Packers' Jordan Love: Throws two more TDs Love completed 27 of 45 passes for… -
Pope Calls for Yemen Peace, Prays for Jordan Attack Victims After SurgeryOct 25, 2026 at 01:09 PM EDT Pope Leo XIV on Sunday appealed for an end to hostilities in Yemen and prayed for the victims of an attack on Orthodox Christians in Jordan, as the pontiff gradually resumes his public duties following lung… -
Packers’ Matt LaFleur & Jordan Love react to their tough divisional loss to the LionsGreen Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur and quarterback Jordan Love discussed their hard-fought 20-17 loss to the Detroit Lions. Packers’ Matt LaFleur & Jordan Love react to their tough divisional loss to the Lions Green Bay Packers head… -
Iran DOUBLING DOWN on nuclear ambitions: ReportFox News senior strategic analyst Jack Keane discusses reports that Iran is rebuilding its nuclear program during 'Sunday Morning Futures.' ... Iran DOUBLING DOWN on nuclear ambitions: Report Fox News senior strategic analyst Jack Keane… -
New threats could push US and Iran toward warThe US director of national intelligence warned that Iran was in the “advanced stages” of planning attacks against American officials abroad, prompting personnel evacuations and heightening the risk of a return to all-out war. US President… -
Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warns‘The Big Weekend Show’ co-hosts discuss President Donald Trump’s options for dealing with Iran as intelligence warns the regime may be ramping up efforts to target Americans. Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warns… -
Tom Brady Loses It Over Jameson Williams’ Michael Jordan-Like TouchdownThe Detroit Lions wasted little time making a statement against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday afternoon at Ford Field, and Jameson Williams delivered a touchdown that had Tom Brady making comparisons to basketball royalty. Williams… -
Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER!President Donald Trump sharply criticized Barack Obama's previous JCPOA deal with Iran, calling it the 'worst and dumbest deal' he has ever seen. Trump RIPS Obama: Iran thought he was a SUCKER! President Donald Trump sharply criticized… -
US intel warns Iran is planning lethal plots against AmericansLexington Institute vice president Rebecca Grant and national security strategist Jake Sotiriadis join ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss warnings that Iran is in advanced stages of planning lethal plots against Americans. US intel warns Iran is… - Iraq closes Iran crossings, shores up Jordan, Syria bordersBaghdad shut crossings with Iran this week, and the Kurdistan Region denied hosting Ukrainian drones, as Iraq moves to avoid being drawn into another round of fighting. Iraq is on edge over the prospect of renewed fighting with Iran after…
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Can't-Miss Play: Brian Branch goes WAY upstairs to intercept Jordan Love's ambitious launchDetroit Lions defensive back Brian Branch makes a leaping interception against the Green Bay Packers. Detroit Lions defensive back Brian Branch makes a leaping interception against the Green Bay Packers. -
Iran may be rebuilding nuclear sites, satellite images revealFox News senior strategic analyst Jack Keane discusses reports of Iran rebuilding its nuclear facilities, President Donald Trump's options for confronting Tehran and more. Iran may be rebuilding nuclear sites, satellite images reveal Fox…
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
70%October 24
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- October 2770%▲ 4
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions