Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 25, 11 PM ETIliana Iotova: 87% → 64%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Iliana Iotova
71%
▲ 5
70¢
72¢
$1.39
$875K
Аndrey Gyurov
28%
▼ 6
28¢
29¢
$3.45
$833K
Nikolai Denkov
<1%
0¢
$84.6K
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
0¢
$29.8K
Rosen Zhelyazkov
<1%
0¢
$69.8K
Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%
0¢
$15K
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
0¢
$16.1K
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
0¢
$19.2K
Krum Zarkov
<1%
0¢
$18.7K
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
0¢
$18K
Boyko Borissov
<1%
0¢
$57.6K
Delyan Peevski
<1%
0¢
$16.6K
Vassil Terziev
<1%
0¢
$40.2K
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
0¢
$21.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bulgaria Presidential, Iliana Iotova, Аndrey Gyurov
Iliana Iotova winning first round of presidential election in Bulgaria — exit pollTASS · 35 h agoThe incumbent president received 35.3% of votes - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section â- Business & Economy Business & EconomyInto section â - Military & Defense Military & DefenseInto section â…
Bulgaria's presidential election heads to run-offYahoo News · 42 h agoBulgarian President Iliana Iotova came out on top in Sunday's presidential election but fell short of an outright majority, according to exit polls, setting the stage for a run-off against pro-Western challenger Andrey Gyurov. Surveys by…
Voting Abroad in Bulgaria's Presidential Election Begins in New ZealandBTA · 3 days agoVoting abroad in Bulgaria's presidential and vice-presidential elections began on Saturday evening, October 24, at 9 p.m. Bulgarian time and will conclude on the morning of October 26, the Foreign Ministry's press office said. Bulgarian…
Bulgarians vote to elect new president@pmnewsnigeria · 41 h agoBREAKING: Jigawa signs $10m deal with Indian firm to build modern hatchery Bulgarians on Sunday began voting to elect a new president, with 27 candidates contesting for the country’s top office. According to the country’s Central Election…
Presidential vote in Bulgaria heads to runoff amid Black Sea security fearsSBS News · 37 h agoPublished 26 October 2026 7:27am Bulgaria's President Iliana Iotova narrowly led the first round of presidential elections on Monday, exit polls showed, in a vote held amid security concerns following a series of drone attacks on ships in…
Bulgaria votes for president as concerns grow over Black Sea attacksThe Manila Times · 41 h agoSOFIA, Bulgaria — Bulgarians will vote in a presidential election on Sunday as security concerns swirl following a series of drone attacks on ships in the Black Sea. President Iliana Iotova, who favors dialogue with Moscow and opposes…
Bulgaria Holds Presidential Election as Turnout Hits Historic Low - teleSUR EnglishteleSURenglish · 42 h agoOctober 25, 2026 Hour: 10:10 am On Sunday, Bulgarians went to the polls to elect their next president. As many as 6.59 million voters are eligible to choose from 27 candidates, including incumbent President Iliana Iotova. Bulgaria Recovers…
Bulgarians Vote for President as Black Sea Drone Strikes EscalateKyiv Post · 43 h agoBulgarians are voting in presidential elections on Sunday as Russia’s war in Ukraine spreads to the waters off Bulgaria’s Black Sea coast. Polls place acting President Iliana Iotova, 61, and ex-caretaker prime minister Andrey Gyurov, 50…
Bulgaria's president leads election but faces run-off, exit polls showYahoo News · 45 h agoBulgarian President Iliana Iotova is leading Sunday's presidential election but appears to have fallen short of an outright majority, according to exit polls released after voting ended, setting the stage for a run-off against pro-Western…
Security concerns: Ukraine war divides Bulgaria as voters elect presidentRTL Today · 39 h agoBulgarians were voting in a presidential election on Sunday, as security concerns swirl following a series of drone attacks on ships in the Black Sea. Polling stations opened at 7:00 am local time (0500 GMT) and close at 8:00 pm. President…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions