Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Sat 12:00 PM ET · $1.8K today · $87.8K traded · $7.1K at stake · prices read 35 min ago

The odds

87%Google
  • Google87%▲ 4
  • Anthropic5%▼ 1
  • OpenAI3%▲ 1
  • Meta3%▼ 1
  • Moonshot1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
9 more
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

How the odds have moved

Google: 74% on Oct 20, 87% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Google 87% ▲ 4 87¢ 92¢ $1.09 $15.1K
Anthropic 5% ▼ 1 3¢ 9¢ $11.63 $40K
OpenAI 3% ▲ 1 0¢ 7¢ $14.49 $6K
Meta 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 5¢ $18.87 $6.1K
Moonshot 1% 0¢ 1¢ $3K
Alibaba <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.3K
Z.ai <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.5K
SpaceXAI <1% 0¢ $1.9K
Baidu <1% 0¢ $667
Xiaomi <1% 0¢ $1.7K
DeepSeek <1% 0¢ $1.7K
ByteDance <1% 0¢ $699
MiniMax <1% 0¢ $726
Thinky <1% 0¢ $692
Meituan <1% 0¢ $671
Mistral <1% 0¢ $625
Amazon <1% 0¢ $537
Nvidia <1% 0¢ $773
Tencent <1% 0¢ $683
StepFun <1% 0¢ $735
Microsoft <1% 0¢ $681

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: AI model, artificial intelligence

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Related markets

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

91%Google
  • Google91%▲ 5
  • Anthropic8%▼ 1
  • Meta<1%
18 more
  • OpenAI<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

63%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3163%▼ 7
  • October 2922%▲ 18
  • October 275%▼ 8
11 more
  • October 284%▼ 1
  • October 313%▲ 3
  • October 302%
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1
  • October 26<1%▼ 4
PolymarketCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $43.8K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions