GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $16.8K today · $384K traded · $92.4K at stake · prices read 16 min ago

The odds

Dec 1, 2026even chance by

October 23<1%▼ 3
October 3117%▲ 6
December 3183%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

October 23: 8% on Oct 20, <1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
October 9	<1%	▼ 1		0¢		$27.5K
October 16	<1%	▼ 1		1¢		$56.3K
October 23	<1%	▼ 3		0¢		$80.5K
October 31	17%	▲ 6	16¢	18¢	$5.56	$13K
December 31	83%	▼ 2	82¢	84¢	$1.19	$89.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: GPT Astra

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Moonshot AI Releases Kimi K3.1 Pro, Beats Opus 5.5, GPT Astra 6 On Some BenchmarksOfficeChai · 3 days agoChina is still nipping at the heels of the top US AI labs. Chinese AI startup Moonshot AI has released Kimi K3.1 Pro, an upgraded version of its 3-trillion-parameter-class open-weight model, which the company says matches or comes close to…
Google Cloud Adds OpenAI’s GPT-Astra and GPT-6 Models to Model GardenUnite.AI · 5 days agoGoogle Cloud is launching OpenAI’s models in its model garden, the company said in an October 21, 2026 announcement, adding GPT-Astra, GPT-6.1 Sol, and GPT-6 Luna to its enterprise AI platform. The three models began rolling out in private…
Gemini 4 Carbon Projected to Be 400% Cheaper Than GPT AstraGeeky Gadgets · 5 days ago1:45 pm October 21, 2026 By Julian Horsey Below are more guides on Google Gemini from our extensive range of articles. The AI landscape continues to diversify as major players introduce new models and updates to meet evolving market…
OpenAI brings GPT-6 and Codex models to Google Cloud Model GardenMarketing4eCommerce English · 4 days agoGoogle has just put one of its most direct rivals’ products on its own shelf: OpenAI’s models, the ones behind ChatGPT, can now be purchased within Google Cloud, the very cloud platform of the company that competes with them through…
Gemini vs ChatGPT vs Claude API: $0.10 Cache Rate [2026]Tech Insider · 4 days agoThe specs table covers what the vendors have published. Where a cell says “not stated,” our sources did not give a figure, and we chose not to guess. DeepSeek’s own V4.1-Flash announcement is the primary source for the right-hand column…
Alphabet Stocks Fall Over 2% While Google Cloud Adds OpenAI ModelsTradingView · 5 days agoTradingView Alphabet Stocks Fall Over 2% While Google Cloud Adds OpenAI Models Cloud-and-search parent Alphabet According to Google's announcement, the initial offerings include GPT-Astra, GPT-6.1 Sol and GPT-6 Luna, joining a platform…
NVIDIA Announces Open Kumo Forecast Multivariate Time-Series ModelUnite.AI · 5 days agoWith a conceptual and reflective approach, Jonas examines frameworks such as reasoning models, agentic systems, emergent cognition, and alignment theory, aiming to clarify what progress toward AGI actually means—and what it does not…
OpenAI Strikes Google Cloud Deal in Push Beyond MicrosoftPYMNTS.com · 5 days agoOpenAI is expanding the distribution of its artificial intelligence technology through a new agreement with Google Cloud, giving businesses access to its advanced models across all three major U.S. cloud platforms as the ChatGPT developer…
OpenAI To Bring AI Models To Google Cloud As It Expands Beyond MicrosoftCoinGape · 5 days agoNavigate the tokenized asset market with allchained OpenAI has partnered with Google Cloud to offer its advanced AI models to business customers through Google’s cloud platform, expanding its distribution network beyond Microsoft while…
An Orbital Aerocycler Closed SolutionMedium · 8 days agoNow, I legitimately believe that, stemming from the polar approach, GPT Astra and Sol have delivered me a solution. As of my last post, a big open question was what specific orbital resonance might work for the idea. The result is…
AEC Magazine September / October 2026AEC Magazine · 11 days agoWe explore Motif, the agent-native BIM platform challenging Revit’s ageing architecture The post AEC Magazine September / October 2026 appeared first on AEC Magazine. [AEC September / October 26] Inside the September / October 2026…
Meta takes on OpenAI and Anthropic with Muse Wonder; Aims for personal superintelligenceBusiness Today · 14 days agoMeta, Mark Zuckerberg's social media giant, has announced its new generation of frontier AI models, Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full. The models are said to excel in personal and professional agentic tasks, and represent a “leap toward…

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

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Google85%▼ 4
Anthropic9%
OpenAI1%▲ 1

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Moonshot<1%
Alibaba<1%
Baidu<1%
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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

54%No release by October 31

No release by October 3154%▼ 15
October 2728%▲ 16
October 287%▲ 5

11 more

October 294%
October 263%▼ 1
October 302%▼ 1
October 201%▼ 12
October 31<1%▼ 1
October 19<1%▼ 2
October 21<1%▼ 5
October 22<1%▼ 14
October 23<1%▼ 4
October 24<1%
October 25<1%▼ 1

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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Nov 8, 2026even chance by

October 21<1%▼ 12
October 22<1%▼ 14
October 24<1%▼ 1

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December 3197%▲ 4

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.25Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.25T.

Reaches $1.5T96%
Reaches $1.75T82%

Falls to $800B3%
Falls to $700B3%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

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Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

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Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

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December 31, 20264%
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December 31, 202714%

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December 31, 202834%▲ 6

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 6:59 PM ET

Traded$384K

Today$16.8K

This week$40.9K

At stake$92.4K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and thei

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions