Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $1.6K today · $111K traded · $13.9K at stake · prices read 6 days ago

The odds

>99%PSD
  • PSD>99%▲ 3
  • PNL<1%
  • USR<1%
  • UDMR<1%
  • AUR<1%
  • PSD + PNL<1%
  • PSD + USR<1%
  • PSD + UDMR<1%
  • PSD + AUR<1%
  • PNL + USR<1%
  • PNL + UDMR<1%
  • PNL + AUR<1%
20 more
  • USR + UDMR<1%
  • USR + AUR<1%
  • UDMR + AUR<1%
  • PSD + PNL + USR<1%
  • PSD + PNL + UDMR<1%
  • PSD + PNL + AUR<1%
  • PSD + USR + UDMR<1%
  • PSD + USR + AUR<1%
  • PSD + UDMR + AUR<1%
  • PNL + USR + UDMR<1%
  • PNL + USR + AUR<1%
  • PNL + UDMR + AUR<1%
  • USR + UDMR + AUR<1%
  • PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR<1%
  • PSD + PNL + USR + AUR<1%
  • PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR<1%
  • PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR<1%
  • PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR<1%
  • PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR<1%
  • Other<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

PSD: 98% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
PSD >99% ▲ 3 100¢ 100¢ $26.3K
PNL <1% 0¢ $1.3K
USR <1% 0¢ $2.4K
UDMR <1% 0¢ $3.3K
AUR <1% 0¢ $4.2K
PSD + PNL <1% 0¢ $438
PSD + USR <1% 0¢ $1.4K
PSD + UDMR <1% 0¢ $11K
PSD + AUR <1% 0¢ $4.5K
PNL + USR <1% 0¢ $1.5K
PNL + UDMR <1% 0¢ $997
PNL + AUR <1% 0¢ $1.2K
USR + UDMR <1% 0¢ $1.3K
USR + AUR <1% 0¢ $1.2K
UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $1.7K
PSD + PNL + USR <1% 0¢ $1.3K
PSD + PNL + UDMR <1% 0¢ $15.1K
PSD + PNL + AUR <1% 0¢ $761
PSD + USR + UDMR <1% 0¢ $1.2K
PSD + USR + AUR <1% 0¢ $725
PSD + UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $1K
PNL + USR + UDMR <1% 0¢ $1.2K
PNL + USR + AUR <1% 0¢ $822
PNL + UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $1.3K
USR + UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $1.4K
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR <1% 0¢ $1.1K
PSD + PNL + USR + AUR <1% 0¢ $1.1K
PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $903
PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $895
PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $845
PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR <1% 0¢ $921
Other <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $17.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Romanian

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  • 1 sailor dead and 3 missing after Russian drone strikes cargo ship in Black Sea off coast of RomaniaNew York Post · 3 days agoBUCHAREST, Romania — A drone hit and sank a cargo vessel in the Black Sea on Friday, killing one crew member and leaving three missing, officials said, in the latest attack on commercial shipping in the region that has raised fears of an…
  • Ukrainian, Romanian PMs discuss defense, energy, logistics@ukrinform · 3 days agoAccording to Ukrinform, Koretskyi reported this on Facebook. Both sides discussed Russia's attack on a civilian vessel off the Romanian coast, which killed one Ukrainian sailor, injured four others and left three missing. Six people were…
  • Romania’s Communist Past Reminds Us That The Left Uses History As A Tool@AmericanThinker · 41 h agoFor them—as for Democrats in America—history is not a record of our past; it is, instead, one more way to control the present and the future. Arnold Cusmariu | October 25, 2026 As we all know, traditional last names sometimes indicate the…
  • Koretsky discusses defense, energy, and logistics with Romanian PMInterfax-Ukraine · 2 days agoUkrainian Prime Minister Serhiy Koretsky has held a telephone conversation with Romanian Prime Minister Luca Niculescu. Among other topics, they discussed a Russian strike on a civilian vessel off the coast of Romania, which resulted in…
  • EU blames Russia after cargo ship sinks off RomaniaDefence Blog · 4 days agoA drone strike sank a merchant ship carrying Ukrainian and Azerbaijani sailors off Romania’s Black Sea coast on Oct. 23, 2026, killing one crew member and leaving three missing, prompting European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen…
  • Romania blames Russia for attacking cargo ship in Black Sea@ukrinform · 3 days agoAFP reported this, according to Ukrinform. In a Facebook post, Dan said the Comoros-flagged cargo ship Khoryv was "struck by a drone and sank near Romanian territorial waters." Later, speaking to journalists, the Romanian President said…
  • Romania Blames Russia for Deadly Drone Attack on Cargo ShipThe Moscow Times · 3 days agoRomania said Friday that one sailor had died and three were missing after a drone struck and sank a ship in the Black Sea, with the country's president blaming Russia for the attack. The cargo ship Khoryv, flying the Comoros flag, was…
  • Romania Accuses Moscow After Ship Comes Under Attack In Black SeaABP Live English · 3 days agoRomanian President Nicusor Dan blamed Russia for an attack on a merchant vessel in the Black Sea on Friday morning. A drone strike sank the merchant ship, with 13 Ukrainian and Azeri crew members on board, near Romanian territorial waters…
  • Romania Blames Russia for Drone Strike That Sank Black Sea ShipKyiv Post · 3 days agoIn brief: Romanian President Nicușor Dan blamed Russia for a drone strike that sank the Comoros-flagged Khoryv near Constanța on Oct. 23. The sinking follows a series of attacks on commercial shipping as NATO prepares to reinforce…
  • Another Cargo Ship Sinks in Romanian Territorial Waters... "Russian Drone Attack"SBS World News · 3 days agoAccording to foreign media, Romanian authorities announced that the Comorian-flagged vessel Horiu sank in waters 13 nautical miles away from the Romanian port of Constanta on the same day. ▲ A ship that sank in Romanian territorial…
  • Romanian far-right leader calls Orbán “leader of Europe”DailyNewsHungary · 4 days agoAt a major Central and Eastern European political and economic gathering in Poland, Romanian far-right politician George Simion described Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán as not only Hungary’s leader but also the head of “Christian…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions