Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $5K today · $254K traded · $38.7K at stake · prices read 26 min ago

The odds

87%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey87%▲ 4
  • Dune: Messiah11%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Wuthering Heights<1%
  • The Bride!<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 84% on Oct 20, 87% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Odyssey 87% ▲ 4 86¢ 88¢ $1.14 $81.4K
Dune: Messiah 11% ▼ 1 9¢ 12¢ $8.40 $123K
Wild Horse Nine <1% 0¢ $10.6K
Project Hail Mary <1% 0¢ $17.8K
Disclosure Day <1% 0¢ $6.8K
Wuthering Heights <1% 0¢ $3.2K
The Bride! <1% 0¢ $3.1K
The Social Reckoning <1% 0¢ $7.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Oscar

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

51%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey51%▲ 3
  • You Can See Everything23%▼ 5
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three7%▲ 2
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball95%▼ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three85%▲ 3
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 2
  • The Debut74%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary74%▼ 3
  • I Play Rocky66%▲ 8
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%▲ 1
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession32%▼ 1
  • Elsinore30%
  • Wildwood30%▲ 1
  • Digger23%
  • Club Kid20%▼ 5
  • Being Heumann19%▲ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth18%▼ 3
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth14%
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime9%▼ 1
  • Josephine9%▲ 1
  • Ink8%▼ 1
  • Sense and Sensibility6%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return6%▲ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Minotaur4%
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother3%▼ 3
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Clarissa3%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Parallel Tales3%▼ 1
  • Backrooms3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell77%▲ 6
23 more
  • Guitarricadelafuente67%▼ 5
  • John Leguizamo59%▼ 8
  • Edward Norton51%▼ 6
  • Robert Pattinson29%▼ 2
  • Colman Domingo19%▼ 5
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • Steve Buscemi18%
  • John Goodman13%▲ 1
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • Miles Teller7%▲ 1
  • Antonio Banderas7%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Guy Pearce5%▼ 5
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Jeremy Strong5%▼ 12
  • Himesh Patel4%▼ 2
  • Michael Fassbender4%
  • Channing Tatum4%
  • Charles Melton4%▼ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon91%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich87%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise63%▲ 13
  • Anthony Ippolito49%▲ 1
  • John Turturro46%▲ 1
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson26%▼ 11
  • Sebastian Stan18%
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal16%▼ 1
  • Timothée Chalamet13%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Josh O'Connor5%
  • Adam Driver5%▲ 1
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Robert Aramayo3%
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

96%Project Hail Mary
  • Project Hail Mary96%▼ 2
  • The Odyssey88%▲ 10
  • Dune: Part Three88%▲ 18
11 more
  • Werwulf50%▲ 9
  • The Black Ball40%▼ 16
  • The Mosquito Bowl35%▲ 3
  • Whalefall34%
  • Behemoth!29%▲ 1
  • Godzilla Minus Zero26%▲ 2
  • The End of Oak Street24%▲ 14
  • Michael23%▼ 2
  • Disclosure Day14%▼ 1
  • Digger12%▲ 5
  • The Debut7%

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 1
  • Digger70%▲ 14
8 more
  • Project Hail Mary68%▲ 1
  • Dune: Part Three62%▼ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility51%▲ 26
  • Werwulf48%▲ 3
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth42%▲ 22
  • Wuthering Heights20%
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%

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