Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $1.6K today · $42.6K traded · $9.3K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

95%Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore95%
Inde Navarrette77%▼ 1
Sandra Hüller71%▼ 2
Olivia Wilde69%▼ 2
Renate Reinsve49%▲ 1
Virginie Efira47%
Ruth Madeley43%▼ 1
Zendaya24%▼ 4
Rosalind Eleazar14%
Emily Blunt12%▲ 1
Penélope Cruz12%▼ 1
Michelle Monaghan8%▲ 3

14 more

Mikey Madison8%
Daisy Edgar-Jones7%▼ 1
Anne Hathaway6%▲ 1
Natalie Portman5%
Lily Gladstone5%▲ 1
Michelle Williams5%▼ 1
Scarlett Johansson5%
Dakota Johnson5%▼ 2
Laura Linney4%
Cynthia Erivo4%
Sophie Okonedo3%▼ 1
Shailene Woodley3%
Joan Collins3%
Kirsten Dunst2%

How the odds have moved

Julianne Moore: 96% on Oct 20, 95% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Julianne Moore	95%		94¢	95¢	$1.05	$2.4K
Inde Navarrette	77%	▼ 1	76¢	78¢	$1.28	$3.4K
Sandra Hüller	71%	▼ 2	68¢	74¢	$1.35	$4.1K
Olivia Wilde	69%	▼ 2	67¢	70¢	$1.43	$2.6K
Renate Reinsve	49%	▲ 1	44¢	53¢	$1.89	$4.2K
Virginie Efira	47%		46¢	47¢	$2.13	$4.3K
Ruth Madeley	43%	▼ 1	42¢	44¢	$2.27	$909
Zendaya	24%	▼ 4	21¢	27¢	$3.75	$1.8K
Rosalind Eleazar	14%		14¢	15¢	$6.67	$1.6K
Emily Blunt	12%	▲ 1	10¢	14¢	$6.99	$2.8K
Penélope Cruz	12%	▼ 1	10¢	14¢	$7.25	$835
Michelle Monaghan	8%	▲ 3	5¢	11¢	$8.85	$60
Mikey Madison	8%		7¢	9¢	$11.11	$626
Daisy Edgar-Jones	7%	▼ 1	6¢	7¢	$13.89	$1.6K
Anne Hathaway	6%	▲ 1	4¢	8¢	$12.82	$958
Natalie Portman	5%		5¢	6¢	$15.63	$901
Lily Gladstone	5%	▲ 1	1¢	9¢	$11.24	$719
Michelle Williams	5%	▼ 1	4¢	6¢	$16.13	$898
Scarlett Johansson	5%		4¢	6¢	$17.24	$1.1K
Dakota Johnson	5%	▼ 2	2¢	8¢	$13.16	$378
Laura Linney	4%		2¢	7¢	$14.29	$301
Cynthia Erivo	4%		1¢	6¢	$16.13	$1.8K
Sophie Okonedo	3%	▼ 1	1¢	6¢	$15.87	$1.7K
Shailene Woodley	3%		1¢	6¢	$18.18	$453
Joan Collins	3%		2¢	4¢	$25.64	$1.3K
Kirsten Dunst	2%		1¢	2¢	$45.45	$976

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar nominees: Best Actress (2027)Joan CollinsKalshi 8%Polymarket 3%5 pts apart

Oscar nominees: Best Actress (2027)

95%Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore95%▲ 2
Inde Navarrette77%▼ 1
Sandra Hüller73%
Olivia Wilde67%

22 more

Renate Reinsve48%▼ 4
Virginie Efira44%
Ruth Madeley43%▼ 1
Zendaya25%▼ 4
Rosalind Eleazar15%
Emily Blunt13%▲ 1
Daisy Edgar-Jones9%▼ 1
Penélope Cruz8%▲ 3
Anne Hathaway8%▲ 1
Joan Collins8%▲ 1
Dakota Johnson6%
Mikey Madison6%▲ 1
Laura Linney6%▲ 1
Scarlett Johansson5%
Michelle Williams5%▲ 1
Michelle Monaghan4%▲ 1
Shailene Woodley4%▲ 1
Cynthia Erivo4%
Natalie Portman4%
Kirsten Dunst4%
Lily Gladstone4%
Sophie Okonedo4%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Actress Nominations

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DUNE: PART THREE (2026): Zendaya Will Campaign For a Best Actress Nomination for a Science Fiction Epic Conclusion FilmFilmBook · 3 days agoIn a surprising turn of events, it has been revealed that Zendaya will be positioned to run for Best Actress for her work in the upcoming epic movie, Dune: Part Three. In a year with a solid front-runner for Best Actress already set in…
Julianne Moore to receive Lifetime Achievement Award at Rome Film FestivalNews18 · 2 days agoRome [Italy], October 2 (ANI): Oscar-winning actress Julianne Moore will receive the Lifetime Achievement Award at the 21st edition of the Rome Film Fest, which is set to take place from October 13 to 25, according to The Hollywood…
This Is the Only Horror Movie to Ever Win Best Picture at the Academy Awardsvice · 32 h agoComing to you from around the world, VICE Digital’s team strives to capture the people at the heart of stories, and focus on the ideas, issues, and context that other outlets miss. Get unlimited access to everything VICE has to offer…
WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning ActorWrestling Inc. · 39 h agoFormer World Heavyweight and Undisputed Champion Drew McIntyre says this renowned actor wants to join forces with him in the WWE. WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning Actor Once he comes back, WWE…
Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the WarStanford University · 2 days agoStanford University Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the War Join us for a film screening of Lithuania's submission for the Academy Awards with commentary from Maarja…
Everything You Need to Know About Julianne Moore’s Daughter-in-Law Kibriyaá Morgantheroot.com · 4 days agoJulianne Moore’s Son Caleb Freundlich just got married to a gorgeous Black woman Kibriyaá Morgan. Here is everything to know about the young woman. L, Getty Images; R, Screenshot/TikTok Academy Award–winning actress Julianne Moore’s…
Julianne Moore Delivers Heartfelt Speech at Son Caleb’s Wedding to Kibriyaá Morgan, a Decade After Playing MatchmakerPeople.com · 4 days ago“I marvel at their commitment, and I celebrate their love,” the actress said in her speech Julianne Moore played a special role in her son Caleb Moore Freundlich‘s love story. Caleb, whose father is Moore’s husband Bart Freundlich, married…
Neon joins the Guardian, MK2 on Academy Award-winning directors Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor’s NAZAthe Guardian · 5 days agoDocumentary, produced by James Wilson and executive-produced by Jonathan Glazer, premiered in Venice and won the special jury prize The Guardian’s head of investigations, Paul Lewis, and global head of multimedia, Nicole Jackson, said…
See Julianne Moore, Paul Giamatti in the trailer for ‘The Debut’100.3 The Wolf · 5 days agoA24 has distributed the promotional trailer for “The Debut,” a comedy-drama that serves as the third directorial effort from writer-director Jesse Eisenberg. The film features cinematography by Drew Daniels, known for his work on “Anora,”…
‘Great for quad strength’: Bizarre but simple trick Julianne Moore, 65, relies on to stay fit & ‘feel alive’Good Housekeeping UK · 5 days agoA GP and a personal trainer weigh in on the benefits Yoga, running, HIIT classes, swimming… we all know there are plenty of different ways to stay active. However, actor Julianne Moore has confessed to adopting a rather more unexpected…
Clayface Just Broke a Comic Book Movie Record & Beat An Academy Award WinnerComicBook.com · 5 days ago(Sr. Writer/Editor) Kofi Outlaw has a B.A. in writing and film studies. He then earned a Master’s Degree in creative writing from The New School in NYC, where he became editor of Screenrant.com when it was just a hobby blog. Kofi…
Oscar Nominee Sandra Huller Joins ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ Cast: What We KnowJust Jared - Celebrity News · 3 days agoSandra Huller is the latest casting reveal for the upcoming Avengers: Doomsday! The 48-year-old Oscar-nominated actress has reportedly been cast in the next Marvel movie epic, joining a stacked lineup of stars. According to The Hollywood…

Related markets

All awards ›

Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

50%The Odyssey

The Odyssey50%▲ 2
You Can See Everything25%▼ 3
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three6%▲ 1
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey

The Odyssey98%▼ 1
The Black Ball95%
Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1

50 more

Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
You Can See Everything82%▲ 2
The Debut75%▲ 1
Project Hail Mary73%▼ 4
The Invite64%▲ 2
Artificial54%▼ 1
I Play Rocky53%▼ 6
All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
Fjord35%
Obsession32%▼ 2
Elsinore32%▲ 2
Wildwood29%▲ 1
Digger24%▲ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%
Club Kid20%▼ 4
Being Heumann19%▲ 2
Possible Love17%
Behemoth14%▼ 1
Michael11%▼ 1
Primetime10%
Josephine9%▲ 2
Ink8%
Sense and Sensibility6%
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 1
Saturn Return5%
Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
Misty Green4%▲ 1
The Drama4%
1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
Minotaur4%
The Whisper Man4%▲ 1
Clarissa4%
Disclosure Day3%
Werwulf3%
Parallel Tales3%
Rose3%
The Uprising3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
The Death of Robin Hood3%
Backrooms3%
The Entertainment System Is Down2%
Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
Hope2%
I Love Boosters2%
Jack of Spades2%
Tony2%
Bucking Fastard2%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
The Social Reckoning1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

90%Matt Damon

Matt Damon90%▼ 1
John Malkovich87%▲ 1
Andrew Scott85%▼ 1

16 more

Tom Cruise60%▲ 12
Anthony Ippolito50%▲ 3
John Turturro46%▼ 1
Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
Robert Pattinson34%▼ 10
Jaafar Jackson18%
Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
Sebastian Stan17%▼ 2
Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 4
Sam Rockwell6%
Adam Driver5%▼ 1
Brad Pitt4%▼ 1
Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
Josh O'Connor4%▼ 2
Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
Jeremy Strong2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball

The Black Ball96%
The Odyssey86%▲ 1
Digger70%▲ 8

8 more

Project Hail Mary69%▲ 7
Sense and Sensibility63%▲ 34
Dune: Part Three63%▼ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth41%▲ 21
Werwulf38%▼ 7
Wuthering Heights22%▲ 10
Backrooms18%
Wildwood4%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

98%Project Hail Mary

Project Hail Mary98%
The Odyssey87%▲ 8
Dune: Part Three84%▲ 15

11 more

The End of Oak Street62%▲ 52
The Black Ball50%▼ 8
The Mosquito Bowl48%▼ 3
Werwulf42%
Godzilla Minus Zero41%▲ 14
Whalefall34%
Behemoth!31%▲ 2
Michael24%▲ 2
Disclosure Day14%▼ 12
Digger13%▲ 6
The Debut6%▼ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

88%La Nieve - The Black Ball

La Nieve - The Black Ball88%▼ 3
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut76%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 570%▲ 1

8 more

By Any Means - By Any Means66%▲ 1
When I'm Home - The Odyssey54%▲ 25
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 240%▲ 10
Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk32%▲ 3
How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad31%▼ 9
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 21
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 3
Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMar 14, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$42.6K

Today$1.6K

This week$9.6K

At stake$9.3K

In the news17 headlines today, 273 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will res

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions