Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 25, 6 AM ETWill Cole-Hamilton: 7% → 98%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 21, 7 PM ETWill Cole-Hamilton: 37% → 15%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Will Cole-Hamilton
98%
▲ 91
96¢
100¢
$5.5K
Brennan Day
<1%
▼ 90
0¢
$5.1K
Jason Cook
<1%
0¢
$815
Jay Van Oostdam
<1%
0¢
$698
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly, Will Cole-Hamilton, Brennan Day
B.C. Election Results: Vancouver Island ridings could be up for grabsVancouver Sun · 2 days agoOn Vancouver Island, narrow margins could leave incumbents vulnerable to challengers. Follow our B.C. election live-blog throughout the night for the latest election news from around B.C., and we’ll update the story below with election…
LIVE: B.C. election night highlights from Vancouver Island and other key ridingsCHEK · 2 days agoResults will soon start coming in for the 2026 B.C. election, and CHEK News will be sharing highlights as they come in. Polls closed at 8 p.m. and voters will soon know the results of the provincial election and who will form government…
BC Conservative files Elections B.C. complaint over “sneaky” NDP mailerrebelnews · 4 days agoA Conservative candidate says an NDP mailer is dressed up like official election mail. Eby says people know exactly who sent it. You be the judge. First Eby calls a sneaky snap election, now the NDP is being accused of sending sneaky mail…
Will Cole-Hamilton running for BC NDP in Courtenay-ComoxMy Comox Valley Now · 5 days agoWill Cole-Hamilton, the BC NDP candidate in Courtenay-Comox, is hoping to bring his municipal government experience to provincial politics. Cole-Hamilton has served two terms on Courtenay city council and was chair of the Comox Valley…
Comox Valley Social Planning publishes candidate survey resultsComox Valley Record · 5 days agoPublished 12:51 pm Wednesday, October 21, 2026 By Comox Valley Record staff Comox Valley Social Planning has published responses from a set of questions the organization sent to provincial election candidates in the Courtenay-Comox and…
B.C. Conservative candidate files complaint over NDP mailout campaignGlobal News · 5 days agoHey guys this is Naomi Chocyk – OneBC Candidate for West Vancouver- Capilano. I just wanted to let everyone know that I love AdoIf HitIer!! It’s all over for the unknown soldier! Ha ha Eby and the NDP are finished! BC will return to a…
Parties trade barbs in last days of B.C. election campaignCHEK · 6 days agoBC NDP Leader David Eby focused his campaign efforts on the Okanagan Tuesday, making stops in Kelowna and Penticton while rolling out millions of dollars in election promises. “Our government has committed to put $30 million into Kelowna…
Fact Check: BC Conservatives scramble fake promise on new UPCCsBC NDP · 7 days agoInterim leader Lorne Doerkson hasn’t explained himself for failing to include in his platform many of promises he had made on the campaign trail. But he’s not done yet - today he promised 11 UPCCs that were nowhere to be seen in their…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions